Recent U.S. 10-year Treasury yields have hovered near 4.5 percent amid resilient economic growth, persistent core inflation near 3 percent, and heavy Treasury issuance tied to fiscal deficits. The Federal Reserve has held the federal funds target at 3.50–3.75 percent through its latest meetings, with markets pricing limited further easing as labor market data remains steady. Elevated term premiums and supply pressures have capped downside moves, keeping yields above levels seen in prior easing cycles. Key near-term catalysts include the next CPI release and June FOMC meeting, which could clarify whether inflation momentum or growth slowdowns allow yields to test lower before 2027.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено$214,768 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
3.9%
40%
3.8%
30%
3.7%
20%
3.6%
24%
3.5%
29%
3.0%
13%
2.0%
10%
1.0%
4%
$214,768 Обс.
3.9%
$40,687 Обс.
40%
3.8%
$39,358 Обс.
30%
3.7%
$26,365 Обс.
20%
3.6%
$4,730 Обс.
24%
3.5%
$31,523 Обс.
29%
3.0%
$446 Обс.
13%
2.0%
$341 Обс.
10%
1.0%
$39,559 Обс.
4%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).Recent U.S. 10-year Treasury yields have hovered near 4.5 percent amid resilient economic growth, persistent core inflation near 3 percent, and heavy Treasury issuance tied to fiscal deficits. The Federal Reserve has held the federal funds target at 3.50–3.75 percent through its latest meetings, with markets pricing limited further easing as labor market data remains steady. Elevated term premiums and supply pressures have capped downside moves, keeping yields above levels seen in prior easing cycles. Key near-term catalysts include the next CPI release and June FOMC meeting, which could clarify whether inflation momentum or growth slowdowns allow yields to test lower before 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
Ринок відкрито: Nov 12, 2025, 6:01 PM ET
Обсяг
$214,768Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Nov 12, 2025, 6:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).Recent U.S. 10-year Treasury yields have hovered near 4.5 percent amid resilient economic growth, persistent core inflation near 3 percent, and heavy Treasury issuance tied to fiscal deficits. The Federal Reserve has held the federal funds target at 3.50–3.75 percent through its latest meetings, with markets pricing limited further easing as labor market data remains steady. Elevated term premiums and supply pressures have capped downside moves, keeping yields above levels seen in prior easing cycles. Key near-term catalysts include the next CPI release and June FOMC meeting, which could clarify whether inflation momentum or growth slowdowns allow yields to test lower before 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
Обсяг
$214,768Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Nov 12, 2025, 6:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent U.S. 10-year Treasury yields have hovered near 4.5 percent amid resilient economic growth, persistent core inflation near 3 percent, and heavy Treasury issuance tied to fiscal deficits. The Federal Reserve has held the federal funds target at 3.50–3.75 percent through its latest meetings, with markets pricing limited further easing as labor market data remains steady. Elevated term premiums and supply pressures have capped downside moves, keeping yields above levels seen in prior easing cycles. Key near-term catalysts include the next CPI release and June FOMC meeting, which could clarify whether inflation momentum or growth slowdowns allow yields to test lower before 2027.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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