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Політика·Krakao

Kraków Mayoral Election Winner

icon for Kraków Mayoral Election Winner
Політика·Krakao

Kraków Mayoral Election Winner

Łukasz Gibała 71%

Monika Piątkowska 23%

Jan Hoffman 3.7%

Aleksandra Owca 3.6%

Polymarket

$17,289 Обс.

Łukasz Gibała 71%

Monika Piątkowska 23%

Jan Hoffman 3.7%

Aleksandra Owca 3.6%

Polymarket

$17,289 Обс.

icon for Łukasz Gibała

Łukasz Gibała

$9,671 Обс.

71%

icon for Monika Piątkowska

Monika Piątkowska

$1,205 Обс.

23%

icon for Jan Hoffman

Jan Hoffman

$318 Обс.

4%

icon for Aleksandra Owca

Aleksandra Owca

$522 Обс.

4%

icon for Łukasz Wantuch

Łukasz Wantuch

$361 Обс.

3%

icon for Rafał Komarewicz

Rafał Komarewicz

$379 Обс.

3%

icon for Grażyna Zofia Świat

Grażyna Zofia Świat

$938 Обс.

3%

icon for Daria Gosek-Popiołek

Daria Gosek-Popiołek

$287 Обс.

2%

icon for Marian Banaś

Marian Banaś

$616 Обс.

1%

icon for Rafał Sonik

Rafał Sonik

$365 Обс.

1%

icon for Marianna Schreiber

Marianna Schreiber

$428 Обс.

1%

icon for Marta Ratuszyńska

Marta Ratuszyńska

$359 Обс.

1%

icon for Paweł Śliz

Paweł Śliz

$436 Обс.

<1%

icon for Michał Drewnicki

Michał Drewnicki

$261 Обс.

<1%

icon for Bartosz Bocheńczak

Bartosz Bocheńczak

$361 Обс.

<1%

icon for Sławomir Pietrzyk

Sławomir Pietrzyk

$356 Обс.

<1%

icon for Michał Klimek

Michał Klimek

$425 Обс.

<1%

The Kraków mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 27, 2026, to elect the Mayor of Kraków, Poland. A runoff election is scheduled for October 11, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Kraków as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Kraków, including its election office and Municipal Electoral Commission.Łukasz Gibała leads the Kraków mayoral by-election market at 70.5% following the May 2026 recall referendum that removed incumbent Aleksander Miszalski amid declining local support. Gibała, running under the Kraków for Residents committee as an independent after narrowly losing the 2024 runoff by roughly 5,400 votes, benefits from established name recognition and consistent first-round polling strength ahead of the September 27 vote. Monika Piątkowska of the Civic Coalition holds second place at 23%, reflecting her party's organizational base, while fragmented support among other registered candidates—including independents and smaller party nominees—keeps their implied probabilities below 12%. Trader consensus incorporates the compressed campaign timeline, signature thresholds for registration, and the absence of major new polling shifts since the referendum.

The Kraków mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 27, 2026, to elect the Mayor of Kraków, Poland. A runoff election is scheduled for October 11, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Kraków as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Kraków, including its election office and Municipal Electoral Commission.
Обсяг
$17,289
Дата завершення
Sep 27, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Aug 6, 2026, 8:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Kraków mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 27, 2026, to elect the Mayor of Kraków, Poland. A runoff election is scheduled for October 11, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Kraków as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Kraków, including its election office and Municipal Electoral Commission.
The Kraków mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 27, 2026, to elect the Mayor of Kraków, Poland. A runoff election is scheduled for October 11, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Kraków as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Kraków, including its election office and Municipal Electoral Commission.Łukasz Gibała leads the Kraków mayoral by-election market at 70.5% following the May 2026 recall referendum that removed incumbent Aleksander Miszalski amid declining local support. Gibała, running under the Kraków for Residents committee as an independent after narrowly losing the 2024 runoff by roughly 5,400 votes, benefits from established name recognition and consistent first-round polling strength ahead of the September 27 vote. Monika Piątkowska of the Civic Coalition holds second place at 23%, reflecting her party's organizational base, while fragmented support among other registered candidates—including independents and smaller party nominees—keeps their implied probabilities below 12%. Trader consensus incorporates the compressed campaign timeline, signature thresholds for registration, and the absence of major new polling shifts since the referendum.

The Kraków mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 27, 2026, to elect the Mayor of Kraków, Poland. A runoff election is scheduled for October 11, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Kraków as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Kraków, including its election office and Municipal Electoral Commission.
Обсяг
$17,289
Дата завершення
Sep 27, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Aug 6, 2026, 8:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Kraków mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 27, 2026, to elect the Mayor of Kraków, Poland. A runoff election is scheduled for October 11, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Kraków as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Kraków, including its election office and Municipal Electoral Commission.

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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Kraków Mayoral Election Winner» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 17 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Łukasz Gibała» з 71%, далі «Monika Piątkowska» з 23%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «Kraków Mayoral Election Winner» згенерував $17.3K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Aug 6, 2026. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «Kraków Mayoral Election Winner», перегляньте 17 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «Kraków Mayoral Election Winner» — «Łukasz Gibała» з 71%. Наступний — «Monika Piątkowska» з 23%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «Kraków Mayoral Election Winner» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.