Persistent summer monsoon conditions, widespread cloud cover, and elevated humidity across the Sichuan Basin have kept overnight radiative cooling minimal, anchoring official forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration for a 24°C minimum temperature in Chengdu on August 22. Historical August lows average 21–23°C, with recent model runs showing little deviation due to stable atmospheric patterns and no incoming cold fronts. This consensus underpins the market’s 96.5% implied probability for 24°C. A rapid clearing of skies or an unforecast surge of northerly flow could allow temperatures to dip toward 22°C, though current ensemble guidance assigns low odds to such shifts before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Chengdu on August 22?
Lowest temperature in Chengdu on August 22?
24°C 99.5%
23°C 1.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
$3,778 Обс.
$3,778 Обс.
Aug 22, 2026
18°C or below
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C or higher
No
24°C 99.5%
23°C 1.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
$3,778 Обс.
$3,778 Обс.
Aug 22, 2026
18°C or below
$155 Обс.
No
19°C
$131 Обс.
No
20°C
$181 Обс.
No
21°C
$405 Обс.
No
22°C
$203 Обс.
No
23°C
$226 Обс.
No
24°C
$955 Обс.
Yes
25°C
$706 Обс.
No
26°C
$151 Обс.
No
27°C
$524 Обс.
No
28°C or higher
$141 Обс.
No
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent summer monsoon conditions, widespread cloud cover, and elevated humidity across the Sichuan Basin have kept overnight radiative cooling minimal, anchoring official forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration for a 24°C minimum temperature in Chengdu on August 22. Historical August lows average 21–23°C, with recent model runs showing little deviation due to stable atmospheric patterns and no incoming cold fronts. This consensus underpins the market’s 96.5% implied probability for 24°C. A rapid clearing of skies or an unforecast surge of northerly flow could allow temperatures to dip toward 22°C, though current ensemble guidance assigns low odds to such shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 20, 2026, 1:32 PM ET
Обсяг
$3,778Дата завершення
Aug 22, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 20, 2026, 1:32 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent summer monsoon conditions, widespread cloud cover, and elevated humidity across the Sichuan Basin have kept overnight radiative cooling minimal, anchoring official forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration for a 24°C minimum temperature in Chengdu on August 22. Historical August lows average 21–23°C, with recent model runs showing little deviation due to stable atmospheric patterns and no incoming cold fronts. This consensus underpins the market’s 96.5% implied probability for 24°C. A rapid clearing of skies or an unforecast surge of northerly flow could allow temperatures to dip toward 22°C, though current ensemble guidance assigns low odds to such shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$3,778Дата завершення
Aug 22, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 20, 2026, 1:32 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Persistent summer monsoon conditions, widespread cloud cover, and elevated humidity across the Sichuan Basin have kept overnight radiative cooling minimal, anchoring official forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration for a 24°C minimum temperature in Chengdu on August 22. Historical August lows average 21–23°C, with recent model runs showing little deviation due to stable atmospheric patterns and no incoming cold fronts. This consensus underpins the market’s 96.5% implied probability for 24°C. A rapid clearing of skies or an unforecast surge of northerly flow could allow temperatures to dip toward 22°C, though current ensemble guidance assigns low odds to such shifts before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання