Recent National Weather Service and model guidance indicate overnight lows in New York City on June 27 will likely settle in the upper 60s to low 70s, with ensemble spreads centered near 68–72 °F amid partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly flow. This narrow range of outcomes explains why the 70–71 °F and 72–73 °F bins hold the highest implied probabilities while neighboring bins trail. Key variables still in play include the precise timing of any clearing, which controls radiative cooling rates, and boundary-layer moisture that can suppress minimum temperatures by several degrees. Updated model runs tonight and early-morning observations from Central Park will narrow the remaining uncertainty ahead of market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in NYC on June 27?
Lowest temperature in NYC on June 27?
72-73°F 38%
70-71°F 35%
68-69°F 18%
74-75°F 16.7%
НОВЕ
$13,529 Обс.
НОВЕ
$13,529 Обс.
Jun 27, 2026
63°F or below
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
3%
68-69°F
18%
70-71°F
35%
72-73°F
38%
74-75°F
17%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82°F or higher
<1%
72-73°F 38%
70-71°F 35%
68-69°F 18%
74-75°F 16.7%
НОВЕ
$13,529 Обс.
НОВЕ
$13,529 Обс.
Jun 27, 2026
63°F or below
$729 Обс.
<1%
64-65°F
$1,017 Обс.
<1%
66-67°F
$450 Обс.
3%
68-69°F
$773 Обс.
18%
70-71°F
$5,576 Обс.
35%
72-73°F
$1,132 Обс.
38%
74-75°F
$473 Обс.
17%
76-77°F
$341 Обс.
1%
78-79°F
$1,159 Обс.
<1%
80-81°F
$682 Обс.
<1%
82°F or higher
$1,197 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance indicate overnight lows in New York City on June 27 will likely settle in the upper 60s to low 70s, with ensemble spreads centered near 68–72 °F amid partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly flow. This narrow range of outcomes explains why the 70–71 °F and 72–73 °F bins hold the highest implied probabilities while neighboring bins trail. Key variables still in play include the precise timing of any clearing, which controls radiative cooling rates, and boundary-layer moisture that can suppress minimum temperatures by several degrees. Updated model runs tonight and early-morning observations from Central Park will narrow the remaining uncertainty ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 25, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Обсяг
$13,529Дата завершення
Jun 27, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 25, 2026, 9:30 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance indicate overnight lows in New York City on June 27 will likely settle in the upper 60s to low 70s, with ensemble spreads centered near 68–72 °F amid partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly flow. This narrow range of outcomes explains why the 70–71 °F and 72–73 °F bins hold the highest implied probabilities while neighboring bins trail. Key variables still in play include the precise timing of any clearing, which controls radiative cooling rates, and boundary-layer moisture that can suppress minimum temperatures by several degrees. Updated model runs tonight and early-morning observations from Central Park will narrow the remaining uncertainty ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$13,529Дата завершення
Jun 27, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 25, 2026, 9:30 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model guidance indicate overnight lows in New York City on June 27 will likely settle in the upper 60s to low 70s, with ensemble spreads centered near 68–72 °F amid partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly flow. This narrow range of outcomes explains why the 70–71 °F and 72–73 °F bins hold the highest implied probabilities while neighboring bins trail. Key variables still in play include the precise timing of any clearing, which controls radiative cooling rates, and boundary-layer moisture that can suppress minimum temperatures by several degrees. Updated model runs tonight and early-morning observations from Central Park will narrow the remaining uncertainty ahead of market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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