Strong trader consensus on no Safepoint IPO before August 2026 at 90.6% implied probability reflects the postponement of its planned early-June NYSE debut following the May S-1/A filing that targeted a $1.1–1.16 billion valuation via 16.7 million shares at $15–17. The Tampa-based coastal property insurer’s roadshow launch encountered delays amid broader market conditions for specialty insurance issuers, with status now listed as postponed. This timeline uncertainty underpins the dominant outcome, as no revised pricing or listing date has been announced. A successful rescheduling and completion before August remains the principal swing factor that could shift positioning toward the low-single-digit probabilities assigned to the various market-cap brackets.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоNo IPO before August 2026 90.6%
$900M–$1.1B 3.6%
<$900M 3.5%
$1.3B–$1.5B 2.6%
$33,243 Обс.
$33,243 Обс.
Jun 4, 2026
<$900M
4%
$900M–$1.1B
4%
$1.1B–$1.3B
3%
$1.3B–$1.5B
3%
$1.5B–$1.7B
2%
$1.7B+
3%
No IPO before August 2026
91%
No IPO before August 2026 90.6%
$900M–$1.1B 3.6%
<$900M 3.5%
$1.3B–$1.5B 2.6%
$33,243 Обс.
$33,243 Обс.
Jun 4, 2026
<$900M
$728 Обс.
4%
$900M–$1.1B
$8,483 Обс.
4%
$1.1B–$1.3B
$8,281 Обс.
3%
$1.3B–$1.5B
$1,169 Обс.
3%
$1.5B–$1.7B
$1,149 Обс.
2%
$1.7B+
$543 Обс.
3%
No IPO before August 2026
$12,890 Обс.
91%
This market will resolve based on Safepoint's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled for June 4 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before August 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company's outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company's total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange's official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange's official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.Strong trader consensus on no Safepoint IPO before August 2026 at 90.6% implied probability reflects the postponement of its planned early-June NYSE debut following the May S-1/A filing that targeted a $1.1–1.16 billion valuation via 16.7 million shares at $15–17. The Tampa-based coastal property insurer’s roadshow launch encountered delays amid broader market conditions for specialty insurance issuers, with status now listed as postponed. This timeline uncertainty underpins the dominant outcome, as no revised pricing or listing date has been announced. A successful rescheduling and completion before August remains the principal swing factor that could shift positioning toward the low-single-digit probabilities assigned to the various market-cap brackets.
This market will resolve based on Safepoint's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled for June 4 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before August 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company's outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company's total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange's official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange's official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled for June 4 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before August 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company's outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company's total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange's official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange's official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
Ринок відкрито: May 27, 2026, 10:32 PM ET
Обсяг
$33,243Дата завершення
Jun 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 27, 2026, 10:32 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on Safepoint's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled for June 4 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before August 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company's outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company's total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange's official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange's official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.Strong trader consensus on no Safepoint IPO before August 2026 at 90.6% implied probability reflects the postponement of its planned early-June NYSE debut following the May S-1/A filing that targeted a $1.1–1.16 billion valuation via 16.7 million shares at $15–17. The Tampa-based coastal property insurer’s roadshow launch encountered delays amid broader market conditions for specialty insurance issuers, with status now listed as postponed. This timeline uncertainty underpins the dominant outcome, as no revised pricing or listing date has been announced. A successful rescheduling and completion before August remains the principal swing factor that could shift positioning toward the low-single-digit probabilities assigned to the various market-cap brackets.
This market will resolve based on Safepoint's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled for June 4 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before August 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company's outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company's total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange's official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange's official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled for June 4 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before August 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company's outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company's total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange's official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange's official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
Обсяг
$33,243Дата завершення
Jun 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 27, 2026, 10:32 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Strong trader consensus on no Safepoint IPO before August 2026 at 90.6% implied probability reflects the postponement of its planned early-June NYSE debut following the May S-1/A filing that targeted a $1.1–1.16 billion valuation via 16.7 million shares at $15–17. The Tampa-based coastal property insurer’s roadshow launch encountered delays amid broader market conditions for specialty insurance issuers, with status now listed as postponed. This timeline uncertainty underpins the dominant outcome, as no revised pricing or listing date has been announced. A successful rescheduling and completion before August remains the principal swing factor that could shift positioning toward the low-single-digit probabilities assigned to the various market-cap brackets.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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