**Spider-Man: Brand New Day** shattered domestic opening records with a $360 million debut weekend after releasing July 31, already surpassing $407 million in its first several days and contributing to a $932 million global launch. This performance, exceeding Avengers: Endgame's benchmark, drives the market's strong 80.3% implied probability for a $900 million+ total domestic gross by August 31, as the film benefits from exceptional presales, broad audience appeal, and typical superhero legs that historically add substantial multiples in the opening month. Traders appear to view the momentum as durable given the franchise's track record and early box office trajectory, though August 31 resolution remains weeks away amid potential competition and word-of-mouth effects.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by August 31?
"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by August 31?
900m+ 80.3%
800 - 900m 16%
700 - 800m 2.6%
600 - 700m <1%
$316,232 Обс.
$316,232 Обс.
Aug 31, 2026
<400m
<1%
400 - 500m
<1%
500 - 600m
1%
600 - 700m
1%
700 - 800m
3%
800 - 900m
16%
900m+
80%
900m+ 80.3%
800 - 900m 16%
700 - 800m 2.6%
600 - 700m <1%
$316,232 Обс.
$316,232 Обс.
Aug 31, 2026
<400m
$5,823 Обс.
<1%
400 - 500m
$17,788 Обс.
<1%
500 - 600m
$24,065 Обс.
1%
600 - 700m
$23,809 Обс.
1%
700 - 800m
$21,118 Обс.
3%
800 - 900m
$30,218 Обс.
16%
900m+
$193,411 Обс.
80%
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by August 31, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and August 31, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Spider-Man: Brand New Day** shattered domestic opening records with a $360 million debut weekend after releasing July 31, already surpassing $407 million in its first several days and contributing to a $932 million global launch. This performance, exceeding Avengers: Endgame's benchmark, drives the market's strong 80.3% implied probability for a $900 million+ total domestic gross by August 31, as the film benefits from exceptional presales, broad audience appeal, and typical superhero legs that historically add substantial multiples in the opening month. Traders appear to view the momentum as durable given the franchise's track record and early box office trajectory, though August 31 resolution remains weeks away amid potential competition and word-of-mouth effects.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by August 31, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and August 31, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 17, 2026, 7:33 PM ET
Обсяг
$316,232Дата завершення
Aug 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 17, 2026, 7:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by August 31, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and August 31, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Spider-Man: Brand New Day** shattered domestic opening records with a $360 million debut weekend after releasing July 31, already surpassing $407 million in its first several days and contributing to a $932 million global launch. This performance, exceeding Avengers: Endgame's benchmark, drives the market's strong 80.3% implied probability for a $900 million+ total domestic gross by August 31, as the film benefits from exceptional presales, broad audience appeal, and typical superhero legs that historically add substantial multiples in the opening month. Traders appear to view the momentum as durable given the franchise's track record and early box office trajectory, though August 31 resolution remains weeks away amid potential competition and word-of-mouth effects.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by August 31, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and August 31, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Обсяг
$316,232Дата завершення
Aug 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 17, 2026, 7:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Spider-Man: Brand New Day** shattered domestic opening records with a $360 million debut weekend after releasing July 31, already surpassing $407 million in its first several days and contributing to a $932 million global launch. This performance, exceeding Avengers: Endgame's benchmark, drives the market's strong 80.3% implied probability for a $900 million+ total domestic gross by August 31, as the film benefits from exceptional presales, broad audience appeal, and typical superhero legs that historically add substantial multiples in the opening month. Traders appear to view the momentum as durable given the franchise's track record and early box office trajectory, though August 31 resolution remains weeks away amid potential competition and word-of-mouth effects.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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