Street Fighter's market-implied odds overwhelmingly favor a $30-35 million domestic opening weekend because pre-release tracking, Thursday previews around $4 million, and comparisons to Mortal Kombat 2's $38.5 million debut all converged on that modest range for the $82 million Paramount/Legendary production. Core gaming fans drove the $31 million actual result, with mixed critical reception and a B- CinemaScore limiting broader family appeal despite the PG-13 rating and IMAX premium formats. Traders priced in front-loaded performance typical of video-game adaptations, where historical patterns show limited legs without stronger word-of-mouth or ancillary boosts. An upset to $35 million or higher would require unexpectedly robust audience expansion beyond enthusiasts, while sub-$25 million outcomes remain improbable given confirmed presales and theater counts.