Switzerland’s 29 November 2026 vote features four measures: a mandatory federal decree raising VAT to fund the AVS old-age pension system, popular initiatives restricting fireworks and reforming federal taxation for married couples, and a parliamentary amendment to the Federal Act on War Material. Trader pricing reflects broad acceptance for the VAT increase and war-material changes, which address pension sustainability and regulatory adjustments with government or parliamentary backing, while the two initiatives face steeper hurdles typical of popular proposals in Swiss direct democracy. Recent voting patterns, including the June rejection of the population-cap initiative, underscore voter caution toward measures perceived as disruptive to economic ties or daily life. No major new campaign developments have emerged since the proposals were scheduled, leaving support levels stable ahead of the final weeks of debate.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоSwitzerland’s November Referendum: What will pass?
VAT federal decree
64%
Fireworks restriction initiative
21%
Marriage taxation initiative
20%
War Material amendment
41%
$7,678 Обс.
VAT federal decree
64%
Fireworks restriction initiative
21%
Marriage taxation initiative
20%
War Material amendment
41%
- Issue 1: Federal decree of 19 June 2026 on additional funding for the AVS through an increase in VAT
- Issue 2: Popular initiative ‘For a restriction on fireworks’
- Issue 3: Popular initiative ‘Yes to fair federal taxation for married couples – To finally put an end to marriage discrimination!’
- Issue 4: Amendment of 19 December 2025 to the Federal Act on War Material (LFMG)
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed referendum is approved under the applicable legal threshold in the specified popular vote. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either the popular initiative or, where applicable, the federal counter-proposal is approved under the applicable legal threshold, regardless of any tie-breaker vote.
If the referendum is officially rescheduled, the same rule applies to the new ballot and its corresponding deadlines. This market will resolve to “No” if, for any reason, the results of the respective vote are not known definitively by the date the subsequent Referendum in Switzerland is scheduled to be held.
The resolution source will be based on a consensus of credible reporting. In the event of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official certified referendum results published by Swiss government authorities, such as the Swiss Federal Chancellery and the information portal provided by the Swiss authorities (https://www.ch.ch/en/votes-and-elections/). Subsequent litigation, administrative challenges, or failure of any post-approval implementation steps will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 13, 2026, 8:06 PM ET
Вирішувач
0x65070BE91...- Issue 1: Federal decree of 19 June 2026 on additional funding for the AVS through an increase in VAT
- Issue 2: Popular initiative ‘For a restriction on fireworks’
- Issue 3: Popular initiative ‘Yes to fair federal taxation for married couples – To finally put an end to marriage discrimination!’
- Issue 4: Amendment of 19 December 2025 to the Federal Act on War Material (LFMG)
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed referendum is approved under the applicable legal threshold in the specified popular vote. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either the popular initiative or, where applicable, the federal counter-proposal is approved under the applicable legal threshold, regardless of any tie-breaker vote.
If the referendum is officially rescheduled, the same rule applies to the new ballot and its corresponding deadlines. This market will resolve to “No” if, for any reason, the results of the respective vote are not known definitively by the date the subsequent Referendum in Switzerland is scheduled to be held.
The resolution source will be based on a consensus of credible reporting. In the event of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official certified referendum results published by Swiss government authorities, such as the Swiss Federal Chancellery and the information portal provided by the Swiss authorities (https://www.ch.ch/en/votes-and-elections/). Subsequent litigation, administrative challenges, or failure of any post-approval implementation steps will not be considered.
Вирішувач
0x65070BE91...Switzerland’s 29 November 2026 vote features four measures: a mandatory federal decree raising VAT to fund the AVS old-age pension system, popular initiatives restricting fireworks and reforming federal taxation for married couples, and a parliamentary amendment to the Federal Act on War Material. Trader pricing reflects broad acceptance for the VAT increase and war-material changes, which address pension sustainability and regulatory adjustments with government or parliamentary backing, while the two initiatives face steeper hurdles typical of popular proposals in Swiss direct democracy. Recent voting patterns, including the June rejection of the population-cap initiative, underscore voter caution toward measures perceived as disruptive to economic ties or daily life. No major new campaign developments have emerged since the proposals were scheduled, leaving support levels stable ahead of the final weeks of debate.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено


Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання