Turkey's ruling AKP has advanced preparatory work on a new civilian constitution, including an internal commission chaired by Vice President Cevdet Yılmaz and a 2025 expert drafting team appointed by President Erdoğan, with recent statements from party officials and Parliament Speaker Numan Kurtulmuş projecting possible adoption in 2026–2027. These efforts aim to replace the 1982 charter and address rights, institutions, and governance. However, passage requires at least 360 parliamentary votes for a referendum or 400 to enact directly, and the AKP lacks the necessary cross-party support amid opposition resistance and competing priorities such as the ongoing PKK peace process and Kurdish outreach. No formal proposal or legislative timeline has advanced to the floor in 2026, sustaining trader consensus that meaningful movement remains unlikely before year-end.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено17% шанс
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Dec 31, 2026
17% шанс
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a referendum to adopt a new constitution in Turkey is officially announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey to adopt a new constitution. Referenda to approve one or more amendments to the Constitution will not qualify.
Qualifying announcements must specify a date for the referendum or definitively announce that a referendum will be held. An announcement by the specified date will qualify regardless of when the referendum is scheduled to be held.
If a new constitution is officially adopted within the specified timeframe without a referendum (e.g., via the required parliamentary supermajority), this market will immediately resolve this market to “Yes.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Turkey's ruling AKP has advanced preparatory work on a new civilian constitution, including an internal commission chaired by Vice President Cevdet Yılmaz and a 2025 expert drafting team appointed by President Erdoğan, with recent statements from party officials and Parliament Speaker Numan Kurtulmuş projecting possible adoption in 2026–2027. These efforts aim to replace the 1982 charter and address rights, institutions, and governance. However, passage requires at least 360 parliamentary votes for a referendum or 400 to enact directly, and the AKP lacks the necessary cross-party support amid opposition resistance and competing priorities such as the ongoing PKK peace process and Kurdish outreach. No formal proposal or legislative timeline has advanced to the floor in 2026, sustaining trader consensus that meaningful movement remains unlikely before year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a referendum to adopt a new constitution in Turkey is officially announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey to adopt a new constitution. Referenda to approve one or more amendments to the Constitution will not qualify.
Qualifying announcements must specify a date for the referendum or definitively announce that a referendum will be held. An announcement by the specified date will qualify regardless of when the referendum is scheduled to be held.
If a new constitution is officially adopted within the specified timeframe without a referendum (e.g., via the required parliamentary supermajority), this market will immediately resolve this market to “Yes.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey to adopt a new constitution. Referenda to approve one or more amendments to the Constitution will not qualify.
Qualifying announcements must specify a date for the referendum or definitively announce that a referendum will be held. An announcement by the specified date will qualify regardless of when the referendum is scheduled to be held.
If a new constitution is officially adopted within the specified timeframe without a referendum (e.g., via the required parliamentary supermajority), this market will immediately resolve this market to “Yes.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ринок відкрито: Apr 1, 2026, 4:01 PM ET
Обсяг
$6,170Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 1, 2026, 4:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if a referendum to adopt a new constitution in Turkey is officially announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey to adopt a new constitution. Referenda to approve one or more amendments to the Constitution will not qualify.
Qualifying announcements must specify a date for the referendum or definitively announce that a referendum will be held. An announcement by the specified date will qualify regardless of when the referendum is scheduled to be held.
If a new constitution is officially adopted within the specified timeframe without a referendum (e.g., via the required parliamentary supermajority), this market will immediately resolve this market to “Yes.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Turkey's ruling AKP has advanced preparatory work on a new civilian constitution, including an internal commission chaired by Vice President Cevdet Yılmaz and a 2025 expert drafting team appointed by President Erdoğan, with recent statements from party officials and Parliament Speaker Numan Kurtulmuş projecting possible adoption in 2026–2027. These efforts aim to replace the 1982 charter and address rights, institutions, and governance. However, passage requires at least 360 parliamentary votes for a referendum or 400 to enact directly, and the AKP lacks the necessary cross-party support amid opposition resistance and competing priorities such as the ongoing PKK peace process and Kurdish outreach. No formal proposal or legislative timeline has advanced to the floor in 2026, sustaining trader consensus that meaningful movement remains unlikely before year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a referendum to adopt a new constitution in Turkey is officially announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey to adopt a new constitution. Referenda to approve one or more amendments to the Constitution will not qualify.
Qualifying announcements must specify a date for the referendum or definitively announce that a referendum will be held. An announcement by the specified date will qualify regardless of when the referendum is scheduled to be held.
If a new constitution is officially adopted within the specified timeframe without a referendum (e.g., via the required parliamentary supermajority), this market will immediately resolve this market to “Yes.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey to adopt a new constitution. Referenda to approve one or more amendments to the Constitution will not qualify.
Qualifying announcements must specify a date for the referendum or definitively announce that a referendum will be held. An announcement by the specified date will qualify regardless of when the referendum is scheduled to be held.
If a new constitution is officially adopted within the specified timeframe without a referendum (e.g., via the required parliamentary supermajority), this market will immediately resolve this market to “Yes.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$6,170Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 1, 2026, 4:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Turkey's ruling AKP has advanced preparatory work on a new civilian constitution, including an internal commission chaired by Vice President Cevdet Yılmaz and a 2025 expert drafting team appointed by President Erdoğan, with recent statements from party officials and Parliament Speaker Numan Kurtulmuş projecting possible adoption in 2026–2027. These efforts aim to replace the 1982 charter and address rights, institutions, and governance. However, passage requires at least 360 parliamentary votes for a referendum or 400 to enact directly, and the AKP lacks the necessary cross-party support amid opposition resistance and competing priorities such as the ongoing PKK peace process and Kurdish outreach. No formal proposal or legislative timeline has advanced to the floor in 2026, sustaining trader consensus that meaningful movement remains unlikely before year-end.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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