President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the ruling AK Party continue to signal support for drafting a new civilian constitution to replace the 1982 charter, including a recent May 2026 address reiterating the need for popular ownership over coup-era provisions. However, formal advancement in 2026 requires parliamentary approval thresholds that the current seat distribution makes difficult without opposition backing or a stable coalition. Preparatory commissions within the AK Party have held consultations and submitted internal drafts since late 2025, yet no legislative vote, referendum announcement, or cross-party agreement has materialized. Traders view the structural math in parliament and the opposition's lack of incentive to enable changes as the dominant barrier, keeping the probability of concrete movement this year low.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоНОВЕ
НОВЕ
Dec 31, 2026
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a referendum to adopt a new constitution in Turkey is officially announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey to adopt a new constitution. Referenda to approve one or more amendments to the Constitution will not qualify.
Qualifying announcements must specify a date for the referendum or definitively announce that a referendum will be held. An announcement by the specified date will qualify regardless of when the referendum is scheduled to be held.
If a new constitution is officially adopted within the specified timeframe without a referendum (e.g., via the required parliamentary supermajority), this market will immediately resolve this market to “Yes.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the ruling AK Party continue to signal support for drafting a new civilian constitution to replace the 1982 charter, including a recent May 2026 address reiterating the need for popular ownership over coup-era provisions. However, formal advancement in 2026 requires parliamentary approval thresholds that the current seat distribution makes difficult without opposition backing or a stable coalition. Preparatory commissions within the AK Party have held consultations and submitted internal drafts since late 2025, yet no legislative vote, referendum announcement, or cross-party agreement has materialized. Traders view the structural math in parliament and the opposition's lack of incentive to enable changes as the dominant barrier, keeping the probability of concrete movement this year low.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a referendum to adopt a new constitution in Turkey is officially announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey to adopt a new constitution. Referenda to approve one or more amendments to the Constitution will not qualify.
Qualifying announcements must specify a date for the referendum or definitively announce that a referendum will be held. An announcement by the specified date will qualify regardless of when the referendum is scheduled to be held.
If a new constitution is officially adopted within the specified timeframe without a referendum (e.g., via the required parliamentary supermajority), this market will immediately resolve this market to “Yes.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey to adopt a new constitution. Referenda to approve one or more amendments to the Constitution will not qualify.
Qualifying announcements must specify a date for the referendum or definitively announce that a referendum will be held. An announcement by the specified date will qualify regardless of when the referendum is scheduled to be held.
If a new constitution is officially adopted within the specified timeframe without a referendum (e.g., via the required parliamentary supermajority), this market will immediately resolve this market to “Yes.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ринок відкрито: Apr 1, 2026, 4:01 PM ET
Обсяг
$1,631Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 1, 2026, 4:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if a referendum to adopt a new constitution in Turkey is officially announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey to adopt a new constitution. Referenda to approve one or more amendments to the Constitution will not qualify.
Qualifying announcements must specify a date for the referendum or definitively announce that a referendum will be held. An announcement by the specified date will qualify regardless of when the referendum is scheduled to be held.
If a new constitution is officially adopted within the specified timeframe without a referendum (e.g., via the required parliamentary supermajority), this market will immediately resolve this market to “Yes.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the ruling AK Party continue to signal support for drafting a new civilian constitution to replace the 1982 charter, including a recent May 2026 address reiterating the need for popular ownership over coup-era provisions. However, formal advancement in 2026 requires parliamentary approval thresholds that the current seat distribution makes difficult without opposition backing or a stable coalition. Preparatory commissions within the AK Party have held consultations and submitted internal drafts since late 2025, yet no legislative vote, referendum announcement, or cross-party agreement has materialized. Traders view the structural math in parliament and the opposition's lack of incentive to enable changes as the dominant barrier, keeping the probability of concrete movement this year low.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a referendum to adopt a new constitution in Turkey is officially announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey to adopt a new constitution. Referenda to approve one or more amendments to the Constitution will not qualify.
Qualifying announcements must specify a date for the referendum or definitively announce that a referendum will be held. An announcement by the specified date will qualify regardless of when the referendum is scheduled to be held.
If a new constitution is officially adopted within the specified timeframe without a referendum (e.g., via the required parliamentary supermajority), this market will immediately resolve this market to “Yes.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey to adopt a new constitution. Referenda to approve one or more amendments to the Constitution will not qualify.
Qualifying announcements must specify a date for the referendum or definitively announce that a referendum will be held. An announcement by the specified date will qualify regardless of when the referendum is scheduled to be held.
If a new constitution is officially adopted within the specified timeframe without a referendum (e.g., via the required parliamentary supermajority), this market will immediately resolve this market to “Yes.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$1,631Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 1, 2026, 4:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the ruling AK Party continue to signal support for drafting a new civilian constitution to replace the 1982 charter, including a recent May 2026 address reiterating the need for popular ownership over coup-era provisions. However, formal advancement in 2026 requires parliamentary approval thresholds that the current seat distribution makes difficult without opposition backing or a stable coalition. Preparatory commissions within the AK Party have held consultations and submitted internal drafts since late 2025, yet no legislative vote, referendum announcement, or cross-party agreement has materialized. Traders view the structural math in parliament and the opposition's lack of incentive to enable changes as the dominant barrier, keeping the probability of concrete movement this year low.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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