Strong opening weekend momentum for *Toy Story 5* has given way to sharp week-to-week drops typical of front-loaded animated sequels, with domestic earnings falling from $160 million in week one to roughly $71 million in week two and $30 million in week three. Traders see the fourth weekend (July 10–12) as a toss-up across the $19–25 million buckets because the film’s legs have shortened faster than historical Pixar benchmarks amid summer competition and audience fatigue. Key swing factors include daily tracking updates, any late promotional pushes from Disney, and whether family audiences return before school-year shifts. The even split in market-implied odds reflects this narrow band of plausible outcomes with no single catalyst yet breaking the deadlock.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено"Toy Story 5" 4th Weekend Box Office
"Toy Story 5" 4th Weekend Box Office
23-25m 100%
25m+ 100%
<19m 50%
19-21m 50%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jul 12, 2026
<19m
50%
19-21m
50%
21-23m
50%
23-25m
100%
25m+
100%
23-25m 100%
25m+ 100%
<19m 50%
19-21m 50%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jul 12, 2026
<19m
$0 Обс.
50%
19-21m
$0 Обс.
50%
21-23m
$0 Обс.
50%
23-25m
$0 Обс.
100%
25m+
$0 Обс.
100%
This market will resolve according to how much "Toy Story 5" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its fourth weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (July 10 - July 12) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by July 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Strong opening weekend momentum for *Toy Story 5* has given way to sharp week-to-week drops typical of front-loaded animated sequels, with domestic earnings falling from $160 million in week one to roughly $71 million in week two and $30 million in week three. Traders see the fourth weekend (July 10–12) as a toss-up across the $19–25 million buckets because the film’s legs have shortened faster than historical Pixar benchmarks amid summer competition and audience fatigue. Key swing factors include daily tracking updates, any late promotional pushes from Disney, and whether family audiences return before school-year shifts. The even split in market-implied odds reflects this narrow band of plausible outcomes with no single catalyst yet breaking the deadlock.
This market will resolve according to how much "Toy Story 5" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its fourth weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (July 10 - July 12) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by July 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by July 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 9, 2026, 10:34 AM ET
Обсяг
$0Дата завершення
Jul 12, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 9, 2026, 10:34 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "Toy Story 5" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its fourth weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (July 10 - July 12) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by July 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Strong opening weekend momentum for *Toy Story 5* has given way to sharp week-to-week drops typical of front-loaded animated sequels, with domestic earnings falling from $160 million in week one to roughly $71 million in week two and $30 million in week three. Traders see the fourth weekend (July 10–12) as a toss-up across the $19–25 million buckets because the film’s legs have shortened faster than historical Pixar benchmarks amid summer competition and audience fatigue. Key swing factors include daily tracking updates, any late promotional pushes from Disney, and whether family audiences return before school-year shifts. The even split in market-implied odds reflects this narrow band of plausible outcomes with no single catalyst yet breaking the deadlock.
This market will resolve according to how much "Toy Story 5" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its fourth weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (July 10 - July 12) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by July 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by July 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Обсяг
$0Дата завершення
Jul 12, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 9, 2026, 10:34 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Strong opening weekend momentum for *Toy Story 5* has given way to sharp week-to-week drops typical of front-loaded animated sequels, with domestic earnings falling from $160 million in week one to roughly $71 million in week two and $30 million in week three. Traders see the fourth weekend (July 10–12) as a toss-up across the $19–25 million buckets because the film’s legs have shortened faster than historical Pixar benchmarks amid summer competition and audience fatigue. Key swing factors include daily tracking updates, any late promotional pushes from Disney, and whether family audiences return before school-year shifts. The even split in market-implied odds reflects this narrow band of plausible outcomes with no single catalyst yet breaking the deadlock.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання