Recent polling aggregates from major survey firms show President Trump's job approval holding steady in the high 30s to low 40s, with daily and weekly averages clustering near 38-39 percent through mid-May. This stability reflects balanced public responses to economic indicators, ongoing legislative priorities, and foreign policy developments, without major new events producing measurable shifts in the past week. Traders appear to view the narrow band as the most probable outcome given historical patterns for second-term presidents and the limited volatility observed in recent tracking polls. While a sudden policy breakthrough or adverse news cycle could still move the final reading outside this range, current evidence points to continuity through the May 15 measurement date.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоTrump approval rating on May 15?
Trump approval rating on May 15?
38.5–38.9 96.0%
38.0–38.4 1.9%
39.0–39.4 1.6%
<38.0 <1%
$24,031 Обс.
$24,031 Обс.
May 15, 2026
<38.0
1%
38.0–38.4
2%
38.5–38.9
96%
39.0–39.4
2%
39.5–39.9
1%
40.0+
<1%
38.5–38.9 96.0%
38.0–38.4 1.9%
39.0–39.4 1.6%
<38.0 <1%
$24,031 Обс.
$24,031 Обс.
May 15, 2026
<38.0
$3,519 Обс.
1%
38.0–38.4
$4,510 Обс.
2%
38.5–38.9
$7,184 Обс.
96%
39.0–39.4
$4,406 Обс.
2%
39.5–39.9
$2,651 Обс.
1%
40.0+
$1,892 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on May 15, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling aggregates from major survey firms show President Trump's job approval holding steady in the high 30s to low 40s, with daily and weekly averages clustering near 38-39 percent through mid-May. This stability reflects balanced public responses to economic indicators, ongoing legislative priorities, and foreign policy developments, without major new events producing measurable shifts in the past week. Traders appear to view the narrow band as the most probable outcome given historical patterns for second-term presidents and the limited volatility observed in recent tracking polls. While a sudden policy breakthrough or adverse news cycle could still move the final reading outside this range, current evidence points to continuity through the May 15 measurement date.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on May 15, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Ринок відкрито: May 8, 2026, 12:14 PM ET
Обсяг
$24,031Дата завершення
May 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 8, 2026, 12:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on May 15, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling aggregates from major survey firms show President Trump's job approval holding steady in the high 30s to low 40s, with daily and weekly averages clustering near 38-39 percent through mid-May. This stability reflects balanced public responses to economic indicators, ongoing legislative priorities, and foreign policy developments, without major new events producing measurable shifts in the past week. Traders appear to view the narrow band as the most probable outcome given historical patterns for second-term presidents and the limited volatility observed in recent tracking polls. While a sudden policy breakthrough or adverse news cycle could still move the final reading outside this range, current evidence points to continuity through the May 15 measurement date.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on May 15, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Обсяг
$24,031Дата завершення
May 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 8, 2026, 12:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling aggregates from major survey firms show President Trump's job approval holding steady in the high 30s to low 40s, with daily and weekly averages clustering near 38-39 percent through mid-May. This stability reflects balanced public responses to economic indicators, ongoing legislative priorities, and foreign policy developments, without major new events producing measurable shifts in the past week. Traders appear to view the narrow band as the most probable outcome given historical patterns for second-term presidents and the limited volatility observed in recent tracking polls. While a sudden policy breakthrough or adverse news cycle could still move the final reading outside this range, current evidence points to continuity through the May 15 measurement date.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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