Trump’s approval rating has averaged in the mid-to-high 30s through much of 2026, down from initial second-term levels near 45-47 percent, amid persistent voter concerns over inflation, the cost of living, and economic management. Recent developments include U.S. strikes on Iran in July that triggered ongoing conflict and contributed to further erosion in net approval to around -20 or lower in multiple trackers. The November 2026 midterms loom as a key test, with Republicans facing headwinds in competitive races and the administration actively campaigning to bolster turnout. Positive resolution of foreign policy tensions, shifts in economic indicators, or legislative achievements could influence polling before year-end, while sustained focus on domestic priorities like immigration and spending continues to shape sentiment.