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Фінанси·Бізнес

Which airlines will announce bankruptcy by December 31?

icon for Which airlines will announce bankruptcy by December 31?
Фінанси·Бізнес

Which airlines will announce bankruptcy by December 31?

$147,430 Обс.

Dec 31, 2026
Polymarket

$147,430 Обс.

Polymarket

JetBlue

$25,464 Обс.

5%

Frontier Airlines

$34,270 Обс.

7%

Allegiant

$37,810 Обс.

3%

American Airlines

$17,392 Обс.

2%

Alaska Airlines

$32,493 Обс.

2%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named airline announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs. The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents the company. A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Elevated jet fuel prices, driven by Middle East conflict and supply disruptions, represent the dominant driver of airline distress entering the second half of 2026, compressing margins for ultra-low-cost and leisure-focused carriers with limited pricing power. JetBlue has reported substantial 2026 losses exceeding $1 billion amid high fuel costs and competitive pressure, with analysts assigning it the highest near-term bankruptcy probability among major U.S. carriers. Frontier faces similar exposure, while legacy operators maintain stronger balance sheets and hedging positions. Spirit Airlines already completed liquidation in May after its second Chapter 11 filing, removing capacity but underscoring the sector's vulnerability. Key upcoming catalysts include third-quarter earnings releases and any further fuel price volatility that could accelerate distressed debt negotiations or Chapter 11 filings before year-end.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named airline announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs.

The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents the company.

A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$147,430
Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026
Ринок відкрито
May 5, 2026, 2:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named airline announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs. The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents the company. A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named airline announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs. The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents the company. A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Elevated jet fuel prices, driven by Middle East conflict and supply disruptions, represent the dominant driver of airline distress entering the second half of 2026, compressing margins for ultra-low-cost and leisure-focused carriers with limited pricing power. JetBlue has reported substantial 2026 losses exceeding $1 billion amid high fuel costs and competitive pressure, with analysts assigning it the highest near-term bankruptcy probability among major U.S. carriers. Frontier faces similar exposure, while legacy operators maintain stronger balance sheets and hedging positions. Spirit Airlines already completed liquidation in May after its second Chapter 11 filing, removing capacity but underscoring the sector's vulnerability. Key upcoming catalysts include third-quarter earnings releases and any further fuel price volatility that could accelerate distressed debt negotiations or Chapter 11 filings before year-end.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named airline announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs.

The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents the company.

A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$147,430
Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026
Ринок відкрито
May 5, 2026, 2:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named airline announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs. The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents the company. A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Так

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Which airlines will announce bankruptcy by December 31?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 5 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Frontier Airlines» з 7%, далі «JetBlue» з 5%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «Which airlines will announce bankruptcy by December 31?» згенерував $147.4K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку May 5, 2026. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «Which airlines will announce bankruptcy by December 31?», перегляньте 5 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Це відкритий ринок. Поточний лідер для «Which airlines will announce bankruptcy by December 31?» — «Frontier Airlines» лише з 7%, а «JetBlue» — близько позаду з 5%. Жоден результат не має впевненої більшості — трейдери вважають це дуже невизначеним.

Правила вирішення для «Which airlines will announce bankruptcy by December 31?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.