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Фінанси·Бізнес

Which airlines will announce bankruptcy by December 31?

icon for Which airlines will announce bankruptcy by December 31?
Фінанси·Бізнес

Which airlines will announce bankruptcy by December 31?

$88,907 Обс.

Dec 31, 2026
Polymarket

$88,907 Обс.

Polymarket

JetBlue

$14,926 Обс.

14%

Frontier Airlines

$29,724 Обс.

26%

Allegiant

$19,939 Обс.

3%

American Airlines

$7,095 Обс.

8%

Alaska Airlines

$17,223 Обс.

3%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named airline announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs. The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents the company. A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Surging jet fuel prices tied to the ongoing Iran conflict have intensified liquidity strains across U.S. low-cost carriers, driving the primary catalyst behind current trader sentiment on airline bankruptcy probabilities through year-end 2026. Spirit Airlines, which filed for Chapter 11 protection twice since late 2024 before announcing liquidation in early May amid unsustainable costs and $7.4 billion in pre-restructuring debt, illustrates how elevated fuel expenses can overwhelm even court-supervised debt reductions. JetBlue faces the steepest remaining risk, with analysts citing potential 2026 losses exceeding $1 billion that could push leverage above $9 billion, though its CEO has ruled out a filing this year and emphasized access to capital. Frontier and Allegiant carry moderate exposure due to high lease obligations and thin margins, while legacy carriers like American maintain stronger balance sheets with limited default odds. Key upcoming catalysts include summer fuel price trends, Q2 earnings releases, and any further policy support measures.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named airline announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs.

The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents the company.

A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$88,907
Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026
Ринок відкрито
May 5, 2026, 2:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named airline announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs. The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents the company. A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named airline announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs. The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents the company. A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Surging jet fuel prices tied to the ongoing Iran conflict have intensified liquidity strains across U.S. low-cost carriers, driving the primary catalyst behind current trader sentiment on airline bankruptcy probabilities through year-end 2026. Spirit Airlines, which filed for Chapter 11 protection twice since late 2024 before announcing liquidation in early May amid unsustainable costs and $7.4 billion in pre-restructuring debt, illustrates how elevated fuel expenses can overwhelm even court-supervised debt reductions. JetBlue faces the steepest remaining risk, with analysts citing potential 2026 losses exceeding $1 billion that could push leverage above $9 billion, though its CEO has ruled out a filing this year and emphasized access to capital. Frontier and Allegiant carry moderate exposure due to high lease obligations and thin margins, while legacy carriers like American maintain stronger balance sheets with limited default odds. Key upcoming catalysts include summer fuel price trends, Q2 earnings releases, and any further policy support measures.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named airline announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs.

The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents the company.

A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$88,907
Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026
Ринок відкрито
May 5, 2026, 2:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named airline announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs. The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents the company. A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Which airlines will announce bankruptcy by December 31?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 5 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Frontier Airlines» з 26%, далі «JetBlue» з 14%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «Which airlines will announce bankruptcy by December 31?» згенерував $88.9K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку May 5, 2026. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «Which airlines will announce bankruptcy by December 31?», перегляньте 5 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «Which airlines will announce bankruptcy by December 31?» — «Frontier Airlines» з 26%. Наступний — «JetBlue» з 14%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «Which airlines will announce bankruptcy by December 31?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.