Anthropic leads LiveBench coding trader sentiment at 69.5% implied probability, driven by Claude Fable 5 and Opus 5 topping recent leaderboard snapshots with coding scores around 83-86%, ahead of OpenAI GPT-5 variants. These Claude releases demonstrate stronger agentic coding and contamination-resistant performance on dynamically updated tasks compared to competitors, reinforcing the gap through verified benchmark results from mid-2026. OpenAI trails at 26.5% as its models close in on overall metrics but lag in specialized coding evaluations. Traders monitor potential new model drops or fine-tunes from either lab before October, alongside any shifts in LiveBench question sets that could alter relative standings.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоWhich company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) end of October?
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) end of October?
Anthropic 70%
OpenAI 27%
Mistral 1.8%
Z.ai 1.7%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Oct 31, 2026
Anthropic
70%
OpenAI
27%
Mistral
2%
Z.ai
2%
2%
DeepSeek
1%
Meta
1%
Baidu
1%
SpaceXAI
1%
Amazon
1%
Nvidia
1%
Thinky
1%
MiniMax
1%
Xiaomi
1%
Meituan
<1%
Tencent
<1%
Microsoft
<1%
StepFun
<1%
ByteDance
<1%
Alibaba
<1%
Moonshot
<1%
Anthropic 70%
OpenAI 27%
Mistral 1.8%
Z.ai 1.7%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Oct 31, 2026
Anthropic
$4,192 Обс.
70%
OpenAI
$600 Обс.
27%
Mistral
$165 Обс.
2%
Z.ai
$210 Обс.
2%
$138 Обс.
2%
DeepSeek
$113 Обс.
1%
Meta
$161 Обс.
1%
Baidu
$144 Обс.
1%
SpaceXAI
$155 Обс.
1%
Amazon
$174 Обс.
1%
Nvidia
$179 Обс.
1%
Thinky
$179 Обс.
1%
MiniMax
$164 Обс.
1%
Xiaomi
$182 Обс.
1%
Meituan
$113 Обс.
<1%
Tencent
$135 Обс.
<1%
Microsoft
$207 Обс.
<1%
StepFun
$138 Обс.
<1%
ByteDance
$133 Обс.
<1%
Alibaba
$133 Обс.
<1%
Moonshot
$153 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Coding score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on October 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the “Coding” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Coding, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Coding,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”Anthropic leads LiveBench coding trader sentiment at 69.5% implied probability, driven by Claude Fable 5 and Opus 5 topping recent leaderboard snapshots with coding scores around 83-86%, ahead of OpenAI GPT-5 variants. These Claude releases demonstrate stronger agentic coding and contamination-resistant performance on dynamically updated tasks compared to competitors, reinforcing the gap through verified benchmark results from mid-2026. OpenAI trails at 26.5% as its models close in on overall metrics but lag in specialized coding evaluations. Traders monitor potential new model drops or fine-tunes from either lab before October, alongside any shifts in LiveBench question sets that could alter relative standings.
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Coding score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on October 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the “Coding” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Coding, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Coding,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”
Results from the “Coding” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Coding, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Coding,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”
Ринок відкрито: Aug 12, 2026, 8:05 PM ET
Обсяг
$7,761Дата завершення
Oct 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 12, 2026, 8:05 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Coding score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on October 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the “Coding” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Coding, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Coding,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”Anthropic leads LiveBench coding trader sentiment at 69.5% implied probability, driven by Claude Fable 5 and Opus 5 topping recent leaderboard snapshots with coding scores around 83-86%, ahead of OpenAI GPT-5 variants. These Claude releases demonstrate stronger agentic coding and contamination-resistant performance on dynamically updated tasks compared to competitors, reinforcing the gap through verified benchmark results from mid-2026. OpenAI trails at 26.5% as its models close in on overall metrics but lag in specialized coding evaluations. Traders monitor potential new model drops or fine-tunes from either lab before October, alongside any shifts in LiveBench question sets that could alter relative standings.
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Coding score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on October 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the “Coding” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Coding, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Coding,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”
Results from the “Coding” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Coding, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Coding,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”
Обсяг
$7,761Дата завершення
Oct 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 12, 2026, 8:05 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic leads LiveBench coding trader sentiment at 69.5% implied probability, driven by Claude Fable 5 and Opus 5 topping recent leaderboard snapshots with coding scores around 83-86%, ahead of OpenAI GPT-5 variants. These Claude releases demonstrate stronger agentic coding and contamination-resistant performance on dynamically updated tasks compared to competitors, reinforcing the gap through verified benchmark results from mid-2026. OpenAI trails at 26.5% as its models close in on overall metrics but lag in specialized coding evaluations. Traders monitor potential new model drops or fine-tunes from either lab before October, alongside any shifts in LiveBench question sets that could alter relative standings.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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