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Політика·Первинна школа Вісконсіна

WI-07 Republican Primary Winner

icon for WI-07 Republican Primary Winner
Політика·Первинна школа Вісконсіна

WI-07 Republican Primary Winner

Michael Alfonso 74%

Kevin Hermening 16%

Don Raihala 14%

Jessi Ebben 14%

Polymarket
НОВЕ

Michael Alfonso 74%

Kevin Hermening 16%

Don Raihala 14%

Jessi Ebben 14%

Polymarket
НОВЕ

Michael Alfonso

$25 Обс.

74%

Kevin Hermening

$0 Обс.

16%

Don Raihala

$19 Обс.

14%

Jessi Ebben

$0 Обс.

14%

Niina Baum

$23 Обс.

13%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the WI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary is scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Michael Alfonso leads the WI-07 Republican primary market at 75% implied probability ahead of the August 11 contest for the open seat vacated by Rep. Tom Tiffany. Trump’s January 2026 endorsement, combined with Alfonso’s ties to former district Rep. Sean Duffy and substantial early fundraising supported by affiliated PAC spending, has consolidated much of the party establishment and voter attention behind the 26-year-old media producer. The remaining field—Niina Baum, Kevin Hermening, Jessi Ebben, and Don Raihala—trails in the mid-teens or lower, reflecting limited name recognition and resources in a crowded primary. Recent polling and debate participation have not produced measurable shifts, leaving Alfonso’s advantages from high-profile backing and organizational support as the dominant factors in current trader consensus.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the WI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary is scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Обсяг
$67
Дата завершення
Aug 11, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Jul 20, 2026, 6:01 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the WI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary is scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the WI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary is scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Michael Alfonso leads the WI-07 Republican primary market at 75% implied probability ahead of the August 11 contest for the open seat vacated by Rep. Tom Tiffany. Trump’s January 2026 endorsement, combined with Alfonso’s ties to former district Rep. Sean Duffy and substantial early fundraising supported by affiliated PAC spending, has consolidated much of the party establishment and voter attention behind the 26-year-old media producer. The remaining field—Niina Baum, Kevin Hermening, Jessi Ebben, and Don Raihala—trails in the mid-teens or lower, reflecting limited name recognition and resources in a crowded primary. Recent polling and debate participation have not produced measurable shifts, leaving Alfonso’s advantages from high-profile backing and organizational support as the dominant factors in current trader consensus.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the WI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary is scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Обсяг
$67
Дата завершення
Aug 11, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Jul 20, 2026, 6:01 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the WI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary is scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Пов'язане

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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«WI-07 Republican Primary Winner» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 5 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Michael Alfonso» з 74%, далі «Kevin Hermening» з 16%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

«WI-07 Republican Primary Winner» — це нещодавно створений ринок на Polymarket, запущений Jul 20, 2026. Як ранній ринок, це ваша можливість бути серед перших трейдерів, що встановлюють шанси. Ви також можете зберегти цю сторінку в закладки для відстеження обсягу.

Щоб торгувати на «WI-07 Republican Primary Winner», перегляньте 5 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «WI-07 Republican Primary Winner» — «Michael Alfonso» з 74%. Наступний — «Kevin Hermening» з 16%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «WI-07 Republican Primary Winner» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.