Traders assign a 90.3% probability to no new country joining the Abraham Accords before 2027 because major candidates such as Saudi Arabia continue to condition normalization on concrete progress toward Palestinian statehood, a linkage unchanged by recent diplomatic activity. Speculation around Kuwait remains tentative, with Israeli officials citing possible talks but offering no timeline or confirmation that would allow accession by year-end. Deepening of existing ties, including the September 2026 upgrade of Israel-Morocco diplomatic missions to full embassies and new economic agreements, reflects consolidation among current participants rather than expansion. Broader regional dynamics, including Houthi threats and congressional review of U.S.-Saudi nuclear cooperation tied to the Accords, have not produced verifiable breakthroughs capable of shifting the near-term outlook.