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Will Apple release a MacBook with cellular connectivity by June 30?

icon for Will Apple release a MacBook with cellular connectivity by June 30?

Will Apple release a MacBook with cellular connectivity by June 30?

14% шанс
Polymarket
НОВЕ
14% шанс
Polymarket
НОВЕ
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a "MacBook" product with cellular connectivity by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying product must be named "MacBook". A product that would accomplish a similar function will not qualify, the name must actually be "MacBook". In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Apple’s March 2026 launches of the M5 MacBook Air, M5 Pro/Max MacBook Pro, and entry-level models underscore the 91.3% market-implied probability of no cellular MacBook by June 30. These refreshed systems added Apple’s N1 wireless chip for Wi-Fi 7 and Bluetooth 6 but retained reliance on iPhone Continuity features such as Instant Hotspot for mobile data. No supply-chain evidence, FCC filings, or official announcements point to an imminent cellular modem inclusion. Industry analysts continue to link the first built-in 5G support—via Apple’s C2 modem—to a late-2026 OLED MacBook Pro redesign with M6 silicon. While WWDC in early June could include hardware teases, Apple’s track record favors software announcements at that event, leaving little realistic path to a June 30 release.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a "MacBook" product with cellular connectivity by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying product must be named "MacBook". A product that would accomplish a similar function will not qualify, the name must actually be "MacBook".

In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$6,864
Дата завершення
Jun 30, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Sep 25, 2025, 5:38 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a "MacBook" product with cellular connectivity by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying product must be named "MacBook". A product that would accomplish a similar function will not qualify, the name must actually be "MacBook". In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a "MacBook" product with cellular connectivity by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying product must be named "MacBook". A product that would accomplish a similar function will not qualify, the name must actually be "MacBook". In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Apple’s March 2026 launches of the M5 MacBook Air, M5 Pro/Max MacBook Pro, and entry-level models underscore the 91.3% market-implied probability of no cellular MacBook by June 30. These refreshed systems added Apple’s N1 wireless chip for Wi-Fi 7 and Bluetooth 6 but retained reliance on iPhone Continuity features such as Instant Hotspot for mobile data. No supply-chain evidence, FCC filings, or official announcements point to an imminent cellular modem inclusion. Industry analysts continue to link the first built-in 5G support—via Apple’s C2 modem—to a late-2026 OLED MacBook Pro redesign with M6 silicon. While WWDC in early June could include hardware teases, Apple’s track record favors software announcements at that event, leaving little realistic path to a June 30 release.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a "MacBook" product with cellular connectivity by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying product must be named "MacBook". A product that would accomplish a similar function will not qualify, the name must actually be "MacBook".

In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$6,864
Дата завершення
Jun 30, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Sep 25, 2025, 5:38 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a "MacBook" product with cellular connectivity by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying product must be named "MacBook". A product that would accomplish a similar function will not qualify, the name must actually be "MacBook". In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Will Apple release a MacBook with cellular connectivity by June 30?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket, де трейдери купують і продають акції «Так» або «Ні» залежно від того, чи вірять вони, що ця подія станеться. Поточна краудсорсингова ймовірність — 9% для «Yes». Наприклад, якщо «Так» коштує 9¢, ринок колективно оцінює шанс цієї події в 9%. Ці шанси безперервно змінюються, коли трейдери реагують на нові події. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

«Will Apple release a MacBook with cellular connectivity by June 30?» — це нещодавно створений ринок на Polymarket, запущений Sep 25, 2025. Як ранній ринок, це ваша можливість бути серед перших трейдерів, що встановлюють шанси. Ви також можете зберегти цю сторінку в закладки для відстеження обсягу.

Щоб торгувати на «Will Apple release a MacBook with cellular connectivity by June 30?», просто оберіть, чи вірите ви, що відповідь — «Так» або «Ні». Кожна сторона має поточну ціну, що відображає ймовірність ринку. Введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ви купили акції «Так» і результат — «Так», кожна акція виплачує $1. Якщо «Ні» — ваші акції «Так» коштують $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточна ймовірність для «Will Apple release a MacBook with cellular connectivity by June 30?» — 9% для «Yes». Це означає, що спільнота Polymarket вважає, що є 9% шанс, що ця подія станеться. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі.

Правила вирішення для «Will Apple release a MacBook with cellular connectivity by June 30?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.