Anthropic's Claude large language models have logged seven distinct outage days through May 13—May 4, 6, 7, 8, 9, 12, and 13—per the official status page, featuring recurring elevated error rates on Opus 4.7, Sonnet 4.6, and related services like Claude Code and file operations. This mid-month tally amid rapid scaling to meet surging demand for AI capabilities has positioned trader consensus at 41.5% implied probability for 12+ downtime days, with 6-8 (31.4%) and 9-11 (30.5%) close behind, reflecting expectations of persistent infrastructure strain. Quick resolutions mask underlying capacity challenges, but no major fixes announced; traders eye the status page for further incidents through May 31.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоWill Claude go down on __ days in May?
Will Claude go down on __ days in May?
12+ 42%
6-8 31.4%
9-11 30%
3-5 5.2%
$33,401 Обс.
$33,401 Обс.
May 31, 2026
3-5
5%
6-8
31%
9-11
30%
12+
42%
12+ 42%
6-8 31.4%
9-11 30%
3-5 5.2%
$33,401 Обс.
$33,401 Обс.
May 31, 2026
3-5
$3,768 Обс.
5%
6-8
$1,093 Обс.
31%
9-11
$659 Обс.
30%
12+
$4,982 Обс.
42%
This market will resolve according to the number of days in the month of May during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime.
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days which have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day in May 2026 is finalized. If the final day in May 2026 has not been finalized by June 7, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the days in May which have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).Anthropic's Claude large language models have logged seven distinct outage days through May 13—May 4, 6, 7, 8, 9, 12, and 13—per the official status page, featuring recurring elevated error rates on Opus 4.7, Sonnet 4.6, and related services like Claude Code and file operations. This mid-month tally amid rapid scaling to meet surging demand for AI capabilities has positioned trader consensus at 41.5% implied probability for 12+ downtime days, with 6-8 (31.4%) and 9-11 (30.5%) close behind, reflecting expectations of persistent infrastructure strain. Quick resolutions mask underlying capacity challenges, but no major fixes announced; traders eye the status page for further incidents through May 31.
This market will resolve according to the number of days in the month of May during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime.
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days which have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day in May 2026 is finalized. If the final day in May 2026 has not been finalized by June 7, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the days in May which have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days which have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day in May 2026 is finalized. If the final day in May 2026 has not been finalized by June 7, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the days in May which have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
Ринок відкрито: Mar 30, 2026, 3:39 PM ET
Обсяг
$33,401Дата завершення
May 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Mar 30, 2026, 3:39 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of days in the month of May during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime.
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days which have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day in May 2026 is finalized. If the final day in May 2026 has not been finalized by June 7, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the days in May which have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).Anthropic's Claude large language models have logged seven distinct outage days through May 13—May 4, 6, 7, 8, 9, 12, and 13—per the official status page, featuring recurring elevated error rates on Opus 4.7, Sonnet 4.6, and related services like Claude Code and file operations. This mid-month tally amid rapid scaling to meet surging demand for AI capabilities has positioned trader consensus at 41.5% implied probability for 12+ downtime days, with 6-8 (31.4%) and 9-11 (30.5%) close behind, reflecting expectations of persistent infrastructure strain. Quick resolutions mask underlying capacity challenges, but no major fixes announced; traders eye the status page for further incidents through May 31.
This market will resolve according to the number of days in the month of May during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime.
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days which have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day in May 2026 is finalized. If the final day in May 2026 has not been finalized by June 7, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the days in May which have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days which have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day in May 2026 is finalized. If the final day in May 2026 has not been finalized by June 7, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the days in May which have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
Обсяг
$33,401Дата завершення
May 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Mar 30, 2026, 3:39 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic's Claude large language models have logged seven distinct outage days through May 13—May 4, 6, 7, 8, 9, 12, and 13—per the official status page, featuring recurring elevated error rates on Opus 4.7, Sonnet 4.6, and related services like Claude Code and file operations. This mid-month tally amid rapid scaling to meet surging demand for AI capabilities has positioned trader consensus at 41.5% implied probability for 12+ downtime days, with 6-8 (31.4%) and 9-11 (30.5%) close behind, reflecting expectations of persistent infrastructure strain. Quick resolutions mask underlying capacity challenges, but no major fixes announced; traders eye the status page for further incidents through May 31.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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