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icon for Will CMI declare the Navier-Stokes problem solved by ___?

Will CMI declare the Navier-Stokes problem solved by ___?

icon for Will CMI declare the Navier-Stokes problem solved by ___?

Will CMI declare the Navier-Stokes problem solved by ___?

НОВЕ
Dec 31, 2026
Polymarket

$6,248 Обс.

Polymarket

December 31, 2026

$3,987 Обс.

8%

December 31, 2027

$860 Обс.

15%

December 31, 2028

$1,401 Обс.

44%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Clay Mathematics Institute (CMI) awards a Millennium Prize for the Navier-Stokes existence and smoothness problem, or otherwise officially declares the Navier-Stokes existence and smoothness problem solved on its website or in an official communication, by 11:59 PM ET of the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A Millennium Prize award will qualify as an official declaration, but is not required; an official CMI statement that the Navier-Stokes existence and smoothness problem has been solved is sufficient on its own. Whether the solution was produced in whole or in part by artificial intelligence, and whether any recipient accepts or declines a prize, will not be considered. A published or publicly posted proof will not qualify on its own, regardless of its acceptance by the mathematical community. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Clay Mathematics Institute (e.g., https://www.claymath.org); however, a consensus of credible reporting may be used to confirm that a qualifying CMI declaration or award has occurred.Recent announcements from OpenAI and mathematicians Tristan Buckmaster and Levent Alpöge have sharply shifted focus to the Navier-Stokes existence and smoothness problem, one of the Clay Mathematics Institute’s Millennium Prize challenges. On September 8, 2026, OpenAI released a claimed proof—generated by thousands of internal AI agents and verified in Lean—showing finite-time singularity formation under smooth initial conditions with bounded energy, directly addressing the problem’s core question of whether solutions can break down. Concurrent work by Buckmaster and Alpöge advanced related Euler and Boussinesq cases using large language models but stopped short of the full three-dimensional incompressible Navier-Stokes equations. CMI has not yet issued any statement, and its established process demands extended peer scrutiny and community consensus before declaring a solution, a timeline that historically spans years rather than days. Traders are weighing the strength of the formalization and potential counterexamples against CMI’s deliberate pace and the possibility of further refinements or disputes emerging in the coming weeks.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Clay Mathematics Institute (CMI) awards a Millennium Prize for the Navier-Stokes existence and smoothness problem, or otherwise officially declares the Navier-Stokes existence and smoothness problem solved on its website or in an official communication, by 11:59 PM ET of the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A Millennium Prize award will qualify as an official declaration, but is not required; an official CMI statement that the Navier-Stokes existence and smoothness problem has been solved is sufficient on its own. Whether the solution was produced in whole or in part by artificial intelligence, and whether any recipient accepts or declines a prize, will not be considered.

A published or publicly posted proof will not qualify on its own, regardless of its acceptance by the mathematical community.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the Clay Mathematics Institute (e.g., https://www.claymath.org); however, a consensus of credible reporting may be used to confirm that a qualifying CMI declaration or award has occurred.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Clay Mathematics Institute (CMI) awards a Millennium Prize for the Navier-Stokes existence and smoothness problem, or otherwise officially declares the Navier-Stokes existence and smoothness problem solved on its website or in an official communication, by 11:59 PM ET of the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A Millennium Prize award will qualify as an official declaration, but is not required; an official CMI statement that the Navier-Stokes existence and smoothness problem has been solved is sufficient on its own. Whether the solution was produced in whole or in part by artificial intelligence, and whether any recipient accepts or declines a prize, will not be considered. A published or publicly posted proof will not qualify on its own, regardless of its acceptance by the mathematical community. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Clay Mathematics Institute (e.g., https://www.claymath.org); however, a consensus of credible reporting may be used to confirm that a qualifying CMI declaration or award has occurred.
Обсяг
$6,248
Дата завершення
Jan 1, 2029
Ринок відкрито
Sep 9, 2026, 12:21 PM ET

Вирішувач

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Clay Mathematics Institute (CMI) awards a Millennium Prize for the Navier-Stokes existence and smoothness problem, or otherwise officially declares the Navier-Stokes existence and smoothness problem solved on its website or in an official communication, by 11:59 PM ET of the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A Millennium Prize award will qualify as an official declaration, but is not required; an official CMI statement that the Navier-Stokes existence and smoothness problem has been solved is sufficient on its own. Whether the solution was produced in whole or in part by artificial intelligence, and whether any recipient accepts or declines a prize, will not be considered. A published or publicly posted proof will not qualify on its own, regardless of its acceptance by the mathematical community. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Clay Mathematics Institute (e.g., https://www.claymath.org); however, a consensus of credible reporting may be used to confirm that a qualifying CMI declaration or award has occurred.Recent announcements from OpenAI and mathematicians Tristan Buckmaster and Levent Alpöge have sharply shifted focus to the Navier-Stokes existence and smoothness problem, one of the Clay Mathematics Institute’s Millennium Prize challenges. On September 8, 2026, OpenAI released a claimed proof—generated by thousands of internal AI agents and verified in Lean—showing finite-time singularity formation under smooth initial conditions with bounded energy, directly addressing the problem’s core question of whether solutions can break down. Concurrent work by Buckmaster and Alpöge advanced related Euler and Boussinesq cases using large language models but stopped short of the full three-dimensional incompressible Navier-Stokes equations. CMI has not yet issued any statement, and its established process demands extended peer scrutiny and community consensus before declaring a solution, a timeline that historically spans years rather than days. Traders are weighing the strength of the formalization and potential counterexamples against CMI’s deliberate pace and the possibility of further refinements or disputes emerging in the coming weeks.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Clay Mathematics Institute (CMI) awards a Millennium Prize for the Navier-Stokes existence and smoothness problem, or otherwise officially declares the Navier-Stokes existence and smoothness problem solved on its website or in an official communication, by 11:59 PM ET of the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A Millennium Prize award will qualify as an official declaration, but is not required; an official CMI statement that the Navier-Stokes existence and smoothness problem has been solved is sufficient on its own. Whether the solution was produced in whole or in part by artificial intelligence, and whether any recipient accepts or declines a prize, will not be considered.

A published or publicly posted proof will not qualify on its own, regardless of its acceptance by the mathematical community.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the Clay Mathematics Institute (e.g., https://www.claymath.org); however, a consensus of credible reporting may be used to confirm that a qualifying CMI declaration or award has occurred.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Clay Mathematics Institute (CMI) awards a Millennium Prize for the Navier-Stokes existence and smoothness problem, or otherwise officially declares the Navier-Stokes existence and smoothness problem solved on its website or in an official communication, by 11:59 PM ET of the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A Millennium Prize award will qualify as an official declaration, but is not required; an official CMI statement that the Navier-Stokes existence and smoothness problem has been solved is sufficient on its own. Whether the solution was produced in whole or in part by artificial intelligence, and whether any recipient accepts or declines a prize, will not be considered. A published or publicly posted proof will not qualify on its own, regardless of its acceptance by the mathematical community. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Clay Mathematics Institute (e.g., https://www.claymath.org); however, a consensus of credible reporting may be used to confirm that a qualifying CMI declaration or award has occurred.
Обсяг
$6,248
Дата завершення
Jan 1, 2029
Ринок відкрито
Sep 9, 2026, 12:21 PM ET

Вирішувач

0x65070BE91...

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Will CMI declare the Navier-Stokes problem solved by ___?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 3 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «December 31, 2028» з 44%, далі «December 31, 2027» з 15%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

«Will CMI declare the Navier-Stokes problem solved by ___?» — це нещодавно створений ринок на Polymarket, запущений Sep 9, 2026. Як ранній ринок, це ваша можливість бути серед перших трейдерів, що встановлюють шанси. Ви також можете зберегти цю сторінку в закладки для відстеження обсягу.

Щоб торгувати на «Will CMI declare the Navier-Stokes problem solved by ___?», перегляньте 3 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «Will CMI declare the Navier-Stokes problem solved by ___?» — «December 31, 2028» з 44%. Наступний — «December 31, 2027» з 15%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

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