**The Green Party of Quebec (PVQ) maintains negligible support in the October 5, 2026 provincial election campaign.** Recent polling averages from firms such as Léger and Pallas Data place the party outside the top five, with its vote share historically below 1–2% and no seats won in prior cycles under the first-past-the-post system. Seat projections from models including 338Canada, Qc125, and The Writ focus exclusively on the Parti Québécois, Coalition Avenir Québec, Liberals, Conservatives, and Québec solidaire, reflecting the PVQ’s limited regional concentration and competition from larger left-leaning options. Party leader Alex Tyrrell’s candidacy in Notre-Dame-de-Grâce and minor procedural gains on local debate access have not translated into measurable polling movement or campaign momentum. Traders therefore view a seat victory as improbable absent a sharp, unforeseen surge in eco-socialist or environmentalist voting that current data does not indicate.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено3% шанс
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Oct 5, 2026
3% шанс
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Oct 5, 2026
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Parti vert du Québec (PVQ) wins at least one seat in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).**The Green Party of Quebec (PVQ) maintains negligible support in the October 5, 2026 provincial election campaign.** Recent polling averages from firms such as Léger and Pallas Data place the party outside the top five, with its vote share historically below 1–2% and no seats won in prior cycles under the first-past-the-post system. Seat projections from models including 338Canada, Qc125, and The Writ focus exclusively on the Parti Québécois, Coalition Avenir Québec, Liberals, Conservatives, and Québec solidaire, reflecting the PVQ’s limited regional concentration and competition from larger left-leaning options. Party leader Alex Tyrrell’s candidacy in Notre-Dame-de-Grâce and minor procedural gains on local debate access have not translated into measurable polling movement or campaign momentum. Traders therefore view a seat victory as improbable absent a sharp, unforeseen surge in eco-socialist or environmentalist voting that current data does not indicate.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Parti vert du Québec (PVQ) wins at least one seat in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Parti vert du Québec (PVQ) wins at least one seat in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Ринок відкрито: Aug 31, 2026, 3:43 PM ET
Обсяг
$214Дата завершення
Oct 5, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 31, 2026, 3:43 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.electionsquebec.qc.caВирішувач
0x65070BE91...Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Parti vert du Québec (PVQ) wins at least one seat in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).**The Green Party of Quebec (PVQ) maintains negligible support in the October 5, 2026 provincial election campaign.** Recent polling averages from firms such as Léger and Pallas Data place the party outside the top five, with its vote share historically below 1–2% and no seats won in prior cycles under the first-past-the-post system. Seat projections from models including 338Canada, Qc125, and The Writ focus exclusively on the Parti Québécois, Coalition Avenir Québec, Liberals, Conservatives, and Québec solidaire, reflecting the PVQ’s limited regional concentration and competition from larger left-leaning options. Party leader Alex Tyrrell’s candidacy in Notre-Dame-de-Grâce and minor procedural gains on local debate access have not translated into measurable polling movement or campaign momentum. Traders therefore view a seat victory as improbable absent a sharp, unforeseen surge in eco-socialist or environmentalist voting that current data does not indicate.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Parti vert du Québec (PVQ) wins at least one seat in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Parti vert du Québec (PVQ) wins at least one seat in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Обсяг
$214Дата завершення
Oct 5, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 31, 2026, 3:43 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.electionsquebec.qc.caВирішувач
0x65070BE91...**The Green Party of Quebec (PVQ) maintains negligible support in the October 5, 2026 provincial election campaign.** Recent polling averages from firms such as Léger and Pallas Data place the party outside the top five, with its vote share historically below 1–2% and no seats won in prior cycles under the first-past-the-post system. Seat projections from models including 338Canada, Qc125, and The Writ focus exclusively on the Parti Québécois, Coalition Avenir Québec, Liberals, Conservatives, and Québec solidaire, reflecting the PVQ’s limited regional concentration and competition from larger left-leaning options. Party leader Alex Tyrrell’s candidacy in Notre-Dame-de-Grâce and minor procedural gains on local debate access have not translated into measurable polling movement or campaign momentum. Traders therefore view a seat victory as improbable absent a sharp, unforeseen surge in eco-socialist or environmentalist voting that current data does not indicate.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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