Tin nóng chính trị & Dự đoán
4 thg 11, 2026
Tin nóng
Xem các polymarket biến động nhiều nhất trong 24 giờ qua
1
Will the Republican Party win the TN-04 House seat?
5%
93%
2
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 12% or more?
94%
91%
3
Will the Republican Party win the NC-06 House seat?
1%
86%
4
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 44 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
90%
83%
5
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?
94%
81%
6
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election by 0%-3%?
99%
76%
7
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 North Carolina Senate election by 18% or more?
98%
76%
8
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-05 House seat?
90%
74%
9
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the first round of the 2026 Georgia Senate election by 18% or more?
82%
73%
10
Will the Republican Party win the TX-09 House seat?
0%
72%
11
Will Loranne Ausley win the Tallahassee mayoral election?
1%
71%
12
Will the Republican Party win the OH-10 House seat?
1%
71%
13
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina Senate election?
99%
69%
14
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Florida Senate election by 0%-3%?
89%
65%
15
Blue mega-tsunami in 2026?
100%
63%
16
Will the Democratic Party win the CO-04 House seat?
96%
63%
17
Will Democrats sweep the Kansas Senate and Governor elections?
98%
63%
18
Will the Democrats win the Kansas governor race in 2026?
100%
63%
19
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Ohio Senate election by 3%-6%?
89%
62%
20
Will the Republican Party win the NC-09 House seat?
0%
62%
21
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-09 House seat?
99%
61%
22
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?
93%
60%
23
Will the Republican Party win the NC-13 House seat?
0%
60%
24
Liệu Karen Bass có thắng cuộc bầu cử thị trưởng Los Angeles năm 2026 không?
2%
57%
25
Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
100%
55%
26
Will the Republican Party win the MN-01 House seat?
8%
54%
27
Will the Republican Party win the SC-01 House seat?
1%
53%
28
Will the Republican Party win the CO-05 House seat?
4%
52%
29
Will Mike Thompson win the CA-04 House seat?
5%
51%
30
Will the Republican Party win the NV-02 House seat?
1%
51%
31
Will the Republican Party win the NJ-02 House seat?
2%
49%
32
JD Vance 2028 presidential odds leader on November 30?
35%
48%
33
Will the Republican Party win the NY-17 House seat?
0%
44%
34
Will the Republican Party win the AZ-02 House seat?
11%
42%
35
Will Democrats win exactly 5 House seats in North Carolina in the 2026 midterm elections?
1%
38%
36
First Round Outright Winner in the GA-03 House Election?
100%
36%
37
Cán cân quyền lực năm 2026: Thượng viện D, Hạ viện D
100%
24%
38
Will Chuck Schumer be the next Senate Majority Leader?
89%
24%
39
Susie Wiles out as White House Chief of Staff by December 31?
66%
22%
40
Will Democrats win exactly 48 House seats in California in the 2026 midterm elections?
80%
21%
41
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?
7%
15%
42
Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
22%
15%
43
Ilhan Omar federally charged by December 31?
24%
11%
44
Liệu Pete Hegseth có rời chính quyền Trump trước năm 2027 không?
45%
10%
45
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting?
79%
9%
46
First Round Outright Winner in the LA-05 House Election?
0%
7%
47
Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026?
70%
7%
48
Will Republican House incumbents not win in between four and six nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?
100%
5%