Tennessee's redistricting in May 2026 transformed the 9th district from a heavily Democratic seat into one with a clear Republican tilt, incorporating Nashville suburbs and showing a Trump margin of roughly 21 points. Longtime Democratic incumbent Steve Cohen withdrew rather than run in the altered map, opening the seat. Republican state Sen. Brent Taylor secured his party's nomination after the August 6 primaries with former President Trump's endorsement, while Democratic state Rep. Justin Pearson emerged as his party's nominee. The new partisan voting index and open-seat dynamics have produced trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee in the November general election, though fundraising by the Democratic candidate remains a noted factor in an otherwise structurally advantaged contest for Republicans.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtTN-09 House Election Winner
TN-09 House Election Winner
$33,175 KL.
$33,175 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
84%
Democratic Party
16%
$33,175 KL.
$33,175 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$19,961 KL.
84%
Democratic Party
$13,214 KL.
16%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tennessee's redistricting in May 2026 transformed the 9th district from a heavily Democratic seat into one with a clear Republican tilt, incorporating Nashville suburbs and showing a Trump margin of roughly 21 points. Longtime Democratic incumbent Steve Cohen withdrew rather than run in the altered map, opening the seat. Republican state Sen. Brent Taylor secured his party's nomination after the August 6 primaries with former President Trump's endorsement, while Democratic state Rep. Justin Pearson emerged as his party's nominee. The new partisan voting index and open-seat dynamics have produced trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee in the November general election, though fundraising by the Democratic candidate remains a noted factor in an otherwise structurally advantaged contest for Republicans.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Khối lượng
$33,175Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tennessee's redistricting in May 2026 transformed the 9th district from a heavily Democratic seat into one with a clear Republican tilt, incorporating Nashville suburbs and showing a Trump margin of roughly 21 points. Longtime Democratic incumbent Steve Cohen withdrew rather than run in the altered map, opening the seat. Republican state Sen. Brent Taylor secured his party's nomination after the August 6 primaries with former President Trump's endorsement, while Democratic state Rep. Justin Pearson emerged as his party's nominee. The new partisan voting index and open-seat dynamics have produced trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee in the November general election, though fundraising by the Democratic candidate remains a noted factor in an otherwise structurally advantaged contest for Republicans.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$33,175Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Tennessee's redistricting in May 2026 transformed the 9th district from a heavily Democratic seat into one with a clear Republican tilt, incorporating Nashville suburbs and showing a Trump margin of roughly 21 points. Longtime Democratic incumbent Steve Cohen withdrew rather than run in the altered map, opening the seat. Republican state Sen. Brent Taylor secured his party's nomination after the August 6 primaries with former President Trump's endorsement, while Democratic state Rep. Justin Pearson emerged as his party's nominee. The new partisan voting index and open-seat dynamics have produced trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee in the November general election, though fundraising by the Democratic candidate remains a noted factor in an otherwise structurally advantaged contest for Republicans.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp