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Elections·France

2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

icon for 2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?
Elections·France

2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

$148,326 KL.

Apr 17, 2027
Polymarket

$148,326 KL.

Polymarket
icon for Jean-Luc Mélenchon

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

$6,705 KL.

96%

icon for Édouard Philippe

Édouard Philippe

$10,209 KL.

85%

icon for Nathalie Arthaud

Nathalie Arthaud

$5,180 KL.

84%

icon for Éric Zemmour

Éric Zemmour

$2,377 KL.

77%

icon for Jordan Bardella

Jordan Bardella

$2,751 KL.

76%

icon for Bruno Retailleau

Bruno Retailleau

$6,695 KL.

75%

icon for Fabien Roussel

Fabien Roussel

$2,615 KL.

69%

icon for Dominique de Villepin

Dominique de Villepin

$5,085 KL.

53%

icon for Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

$576 KL.

59%

icon for David Lisnard

David Lisnard

$5,251 KL.

50%

icon for Gabriel Attal

Gabriel Attal

$5,801 KL.

42%

icon for Raphaël Glucksmann

Raphaël Glucksmann

$4,623 KL.

41%

icon for Marine Tondelier

Marine Tondelier

$1,342 KL.

37%

icon for François Ruffin

François Ruffin

$979 KL.

34%

icon for François Hollande

François Hollande

$4,681 KL.

30%

icon for François Asselineau

François Asselineau

$2,257 KL.

26%

icon for Marine Le Pen

Marine Le Pen

$4,322 KL.

20%

icon for Sarah Knafo

Sarah Knafo

$2,881 KL.

17%

icon for Juan Branco

Juan Branco

$3,638 KL.

17%

icon for Matthieu Pigasse

Matthieu Pigasse

$10,076 KL.

13%

icon for Gérald Darmanin

Gérald Darmanin

$3,175 KL.

10%

icon for Bernard Cazeneuve

Bernard Cazeneuve

$350 KL.

10%

icon for Xavier Bertrand

Xavier Bertrand

$2,539 KL.

10%

icon for Carole Delga

Carole Delga

$2,250 KL.

9%

icon for Jérôme Guedj

Jérôme Guedj

$1,756 KL.

9%

icon for Michel-Edouard Leclerc

Michel-Edouard Leclerc

$1,417 KL.

9%

icon for Philippe de Villiers

Philippe de Villiers

$2,385 KL.

9%

icon for Olivier Faure

Olivier Faure

$1,265 KL.

9%

icon for Jean Castex

Jean Castex

$1,742 KL.

8%

icon for Ségolène Royal

Ségolène Royal

$1,637 KL.

8%

icon for Manuel Bompard

Manuel Bompard

$2,842 KL.

7%

icon for Valérie Pécresse

Valérie Pécresse

$559 KL.

7%

icon for Karim Bouamrane

Karim Bouamrane

$2,727 KL.

7%

icon for Jean-Michel Fauvergue

Jean-Michel Fauvergue

$1,557 KL.

7%

icon for François Bayrou

François Bayrou

$4,748 KL.

6%

icon for Delphine Batho

Delphine Batho

$743 KL.

5%

icon for Clémentine Autain

Clémentine Autain

$1,576 KL.

4%

icon for Manuel Valls

Manuel Valls

$972 KL.

4%

icon for Bally Bagayoko

Bally Bagayoko

$1,258 KL.

4%

icon for Laurent Wauquiez

Laurent Wauquiez

$19,686 KL.

4%

icon for Yaël Braun-Pivet

Yaël Braun-Pivet

$478 KL.

4%

icon for Teddy Riner

Teddy Riner

$352 KL.

3%

icon for Mathilde Panot

Mathilde Panot

$850 KL.

3%

icon for Sébastien Lecornu

Sébastien Lecornu

$345 KL.

3%

icon for Élisabeth Borne

Élisabeth Borne

$970 KL.

3%

icon for Michel Barnier

Michel Barnier

$2,102 KL.

2%

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Jordan Bardella of the National Rally leads first-round polling at around 32-34 percent and is widely viewed as the frontrunner for his party's nomination, while Jean-Luc Mélenchon confirmed his La France Insoumise candidacy in early May and appears likely to qualify.** Édouard Philippe and Gabriel Attal have also declared, splitting the center-right and Macronist vote, and Bruno Retailleau secured The Republicans' endorsement in April. Marine Le Pen's July 7 appeal against her embezzlement conviction and potential office ban remains the key near-term catalyst that could determine whether Bardella or Le Pen represents the far right. A fragmented left, including an October primary, raises the bar for additional qualifiers, and traders weigh these developments against the need for 500 elected signatures and party consolidation ahead of the April 2027 vote.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Khối lượng
$148,326
Ngày kết thúc
Apr 17, 2027
Thị trường mở
Apr 24, 2026, 1:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Jordan Bardella of the National Rally leads first-round polling at around 32-34 percent and is widely viewed as the frontrunner for his party's nomination, while Jean-Luc Mélenchon confirmed his La France Insoumise candidacy in early May and appears likely to qualify.** Édouard Philippe and Gabriel Attal have also declared, splitting the center-right and Macronist vote, and Bruno Retailleau secured The Republicans' endorsement in April. Marine Le Pen's July 7 appeal against her embezzlement conviction and potential office ban remains the key near-term catalyst that could determine whether Bardella or Le Pen represents the far right. A fragmented left, including an October primary, raises the bar for additional qualifiers, and traders weigh these developments against the need for 500 elected signatures and party consolidation ahead of the April 2027 vote.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Khối lượng
$148,326
Ngày kết thúc
Apr 17, 2027
Thị trường mở
Apr 24, 2026, 1:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Câu hỏi thường gặp

"2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?" là thị trường dự đoán trên Polymarket với 46+ kết quả có thể nơi các nhà giao dịch mua và bán cổ phần dựa trên điều họ tin sẽ xảy ra. Kết quả dẫn đầu hiện tại là "Jean-Luc Mélenchon" ở mức 96%, tiếp theo là "Édouard Philippe" ở mức 85%. Giá phản ánh xác suất cộng đồng theo thời gian thực. Ví dụ, cổ phần ở giá 96¢ ngụ ý thị trường tập thể cho rằng có 96% khả năng cho kết quả đó. Tỷ lệ này thay đổi liên tục khi trader phản ứng với diễn biến và thông tin mới. Cổ phần đúng kết quả có thể đổi lấy $1 mỗi cổ phần khi thị trường được giải quyết.

Tính đến hôm nay, "2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?" đã tạo $148.3K tổng khối lượng giao dịch kể từ khi thị trường mở vào Apr 22, 2026. Mức hoạt động giao dịch này phản ánh sự tham gia mạnh mẽ từ cộng đồng Polymarket và giúp đảm bảo tỷ lệ hiện tại được thông tin bởi nhóm người tham gia thị trường sâu rộng. Bạn có thể theo dõi biến động giá trực tiếp và giao dịch trên bất kỳ kết quả nào ngay trên trang này.

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Ứng viên dẫn đầu hiện tại cho "2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?" là "Jean-Luc Mélenchon" ở mức 96%, nghĩa là thị trường cho 96% khả năng cho kết quả đó. Kết quả gần nhất tiếp theo là "Édouard Philippe" ở mức 85%. Tỷ lệ cập nhật theo thời gian thực khi trader mua và bán cổ phần, phản ánh cái nhìn tập thể mới nhất về điều có khả năng xảy ra nhất. Kiểm tra thường xuyên hoặc đánh dấu trang này để theo dõi tỷ lệ thay đổi khi thông tin mới xuất hiện.

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