Anthropic's dominant 96.9% implied probability reflects its May 2026 Series H round, which raised $65 billion at a $965 billion post-money valuation and established a $47 billion annualized revenue run-rate, positioning it clearly ahead of OpenAI at $852 billion and other listed peers as the clear number-two private company behind SpaceX. Trader consensus incorporates the company's recent confidential IPO filing and sustained enterprise adoption momentum, with limited scope for material valuation shifts before month-end resolution. The primary risk to this positioning would be an unexpected late-June funding event or secondary-market repricing for a rival such as OpenAI or Databricks that materially alters relative enterprise values, though the compressed timeline and established capitalization levels make such outcomes improbable.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtAnthropic 99.6%
OpenAI <1%
SpaceX <1%
Anduril <1%
$49,904 KL.
$49,904 KL.
Jul 1, 2026
Anduril
<1%
Anthropic
100%
Canva
<1%
Databricks
<1%
Epic Games
<1%
Kraken
<1%
Lambda
<1%
Neuralink
<1%
OpenAI
<1%
Perplexity
<1%
SpaceX
<1%
Stripe
<1%
Anthropic 99.6%
OpenAI <1%
SpaceX <1%
Anduril <1%
$49,904 KL.
$49,904 KL.
Jul 1, 2026
Anduril
$2,486 KL.
<1%
Anthropic
$6,749 KL.
100%
Canva
$4,799 KL.
<1%
Databricks
$3,042 KL.
<1%
Epic Games
$4,413 KL.
<1%
Kraken
$5,352 KL.
<1%
Lambda
$691 KL.
<1%
Neuralink
$5,314 KL.
<1%
OpenAI
$7,332 KL.
<1%
Perplexity
$2,261 KL.
<1%
SpaceX
$6,351 KL.
<1%
Stripe
$1,114 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the listed company with the second largest private market valuation on June 30, 2026.
NPM Prices are published for trading days only and are updated once daily at 1:00 PM ET on the following calendar day.
If NPM has not published relevant data for the specified date by 1:00 PM ET on July 1, 2026, this market may remain open until 11:59 PM ET on July 4, 2026. If no further data is released by that time, the market will resolve according to the data available.
If NPM ceases publishing relevant data prior to the specified date, this market will resolve based on the NPM data published prior to the cessation of coverage, as well as applicable public market capitalization data following an IPO or direct listing.
If a company completes an IPO or direct listing before the specified date, this market will resolve based on its final NPM valuation published between market creation and the IPO or direct listing date, as this market is based on private market valuations only.
If a listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If a listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, only the NPM valuation achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
If two or more companies are tied for the second highest valuation, the markets will resolve in favor of the company that achieved that valuation first. If the valuations were achieved on the same day, the market will resolve in favor of the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Revisions to previously published NPM data made after their initial release will not be considered, unless made to correct clearly erroneous data.
The resolution sources for this market are:
https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-c62b8140-fdeb-428d-a9a6-d04eb3b24b49/data?return_url=https://test8298192.pages.dev/finance/privates
https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-3e197763-4ff8-4d8c-bd1f-cc2792937757/data?return_url=https://test8298192.pages.dev/finance/privates
https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-5e0e75a3-96d6-4893-8f23-9d9bac0ec1db/data?return_url=https://test8298192.pages.dev/finance/privates
https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-53787f17-a704-47a9-895a-cb54833bdb1f/data?return_url=https://test8298192.pages.dev/finance/privates
https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-625e5f47-7ff7-45c4-be95-0305665164bd/data?return_url=https://test8298192.pages.dev/finance/privates
https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-ab5413cb-1c83-497e-b03e-2ed7ca70117d/data?return_url=https://test8298192.pages.dev/finance/privates
https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-86eda4f2-01af-4275-9c70-0ff3c347c62b/data?return_url=https://test8298192.pages.dev/finance/privates
https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-782c0a32-4727-4097-a40b-9a2602f243e7/data?return_url=https://test8298192.pages.dev/finance/privates
https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-30839e0b-2730-4495-839f-1bf638fa9cca/data?return_url=https://test8298192.pages.dev/finance/privates
https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-802a7f97-3625-4614-a13d-d999cf139330/data?return_url=https://test8298192.pages.dev/finance/privates
https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-5bc8aa2b-22b5-48cc-b54a-1310145b0a86/data?return_url=https://test8298192.pages.dev/finance/privates
https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-6edded11-6786-4392-9695-3cce6fda0de0/data?return_url=https://test8298192.pages.dev/finance/privates.Anthropic's dominant 96.9% implied probability reflects its May 2026 Series H round, which raised $65 billion at a $965 billion post-money valuation and established a $47 billion annualized revenue run-rate, positioning it clearly ahead of OpenAI at $852 billion and other listed peers as the clear number-two private company behind SpaceX. Trader consensus incorporates the company's recent confidential IPO filing and sustained enterprise adoption momentum, with limited scope for material valuation shifts before month-end resolution. The primary risk to this positioning would be an unexpected late-June funding event or secondary-market repricing for a rival such as OpenAI or Databricks that materially alters relative enterprise values, though the compressed timeline and established capitalization levels make such outcomes improbable.
This market will resolve to the listed company with the second largest private market valuation on June 30, 2026.
NPM Prices are published for trading days only and are updated once daily at 1:00 PM ET on the following calendar day.
If NPM has not published relevant data for the specified date by 1:00 PM ET on July 1, 2026, this market may remain open until 11:59 PM ET on July 4, 2026. If no further data is released by that time, the market will resolve according to the data available.
If NPM ceases publishing relevant data prior to the specified date, this market will resolve based on the NPM data published prior to the cessation of coverage, as well as applicable public market capitalization data following an IPO or direct listing.
If a company completes an IPO or direct listing before the specified date, this market will resolve based on its final NPM valuation published between market creation and the IPO or direct listing date, as this market is based on private market valuations only.
If a listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If a listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, only the NPM valuation achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
If two or more companies are tied for the second highest valuation, the markets will resolve in favor of the company that achieved that valuation first. If the valuations were achieved on the same day, the market will resolve in favor of the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Revisions to previously published NPM data made after their initial release will not be considered, unless made to correct clearly erroneous data.
The resolution sources for this market are:
https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-c62b8140-fdeb-428d-a9a6-d04eb3b24b49/data?return_url=https://test8298192.pages.dev/finance/privates
https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-3e197763-4ff8-4d8c-bd1f-cc2792937757/data?return_url=https://test8298192.pages.dev/finance/privates
https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-5e0e75a3-96d6-4893-8f23-9d9bac0ec1db/data?return_url=https://test8298192.pages.dev/finance/privates
https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-53787f17-a704-47a9-895a-cb54833bdb1f/data?return_url=https://test8298192.pages.dev/finance/privates
https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-625e5f47-7ff7-45c4-be95-0305665164bd/data?return_url=https://test8298192.pages.dev/finance/privates
https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-ab5413cb-1c83-497e-b03e-2ed7ca70117d/data?return_url=https://test8298192.pages.dev/finance/privates
https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-86eda4f2-01af-4275-9c70-0ff3c347c62b/data?return_url=https://test8298192.pages.dev/finance/privates
https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-782c0a32-4727-4097-a40b-9a2602f243e7/data?return_url=https://test8298192.pages.dev/finance/privates
https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-30839e0b-2730-4495-839f-1bf638fa9cca/data?return_url=https://test8298192.pages.dev/finance/privates
https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-802a7f97-3625-4614-a13d-d999cf139330/data?return_url=https://test8298192.pages.dev/finance/privates
https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-5bc8aa2b-22b5-48cc-b54a-1310145b0a86/data?return_url=https://test8298192.pages.dev/finance/privates
https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-6edded11-6786-4392-9695-3cce6fda0de0/data?return_url=https://test8298192.pages.dev/finance/privates.
NPM Prices are published for trading days only and are updated once daily at 1:00 PM ET on the following calendar day.
If NPM has not published relevant data for the specified date by 1:00 PM ET on July 1, 2026, this market may remain open until 11:59 PM ET on July 4, 2026. If no further data is released by that time, the market will resolve according to the data available.
If NPM ceases publishing relevant data prior to the specified date, this market will resolve based on the NPM data published prior to the cessation of coverage, as well as applicable public market capitalization data following an IPO or direct listing.
If a company completes an IPO or direct listing before the specified date, this market will resolve based on its final NPM valuation published between market creation and the IPO or direct listing date, as this market is based on private market valuations only.
If a listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If a listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, only the NPM valuation achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
If two or more companies are tied for the second highest valuation, the markets will resolve in favor of the company that achieved that valuation first. If the valuations were achieved on the same day, the market will resolve in favor of the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Revisions to previously published NPM data made after their initial release will not be considered, unless made to correct clearly erroneous data.
The resolution sources for this market are:
https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-c62b8140-fdeb-428d-a9a6-d04eb3b24b49/data?return_url=https://test8298192.pages.dev/finance/privates
https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-3e197763-4ff8-4d8c-bd1f-cc2792937757/data?return_url=https://test8298192.pages.dev/finance/privates
https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-5e0e75a3-96d6-4893-8f23-9d9bac0ec1db/data?return_url=https://test8298192.pages.dev/finance/privates
https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-53787f17-a704-47a9-895a-cb54833bdb1f/data?return_url=https://test8298192.pages.dev/finance/privates
https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-625e5f47-7ff7-45c4-be95-0305665164bd/data?return_url=https://test8298192.pages.dev/finance/privates
https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-ab5413cb-1c83-497e-b03e-2ed7ca70117d/data?return_url=https://test8298192.pages.dev/finance/privates
https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-86eda4f2-01af-4275-9c70-0ff3c347c62b/data?return_url=https://test8298192.pages.dev/finance/privates
https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-782c0a32-4727-4097-a40b-9a2602f243e7/data?return_url=https://test8298192.pages.dev/finance/privates
https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-30839e0b-2730-4495-839f-1bf638fa9cca/data?return_url=https://test8298192.pages.dev/finance/privates
https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-802a7f97-3625-4614-a13d-d999cf139330/data?return_url=https://test8298192.pages.dev/finance/privates
https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-5bc8aa2b-22b5-48cc-b54a-1310145b0a86/data?return_url=https://test8298192.pages.dev/finance/privates
https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-6edded11-6786-4392-9695-3cce6fda0de0/data?return_url=https://test8298192.pages.dev/finance/privates.
Thị trường mở: May 19, 2026, 5:48 PM ET
Khối lượng
$49,904Ngày kết thúc
Jul 1, 2026Thị trường mở
May 19, 2026, 5:48 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the listed company with the second largest private market valuation on June 30, 2026.
NPM Prices are published for trading days only and are updated once daily at 1:00 PM ET on the following calendar day.
If NPM has not published relevant data for the specified date by 1:00 PM ET on July 1, 2026, this market may remain open until 11:59 PM ET on July 4, 2026. If no further data is released by that time, the market will resolve according to the data available.
If NPM ceases publishing relevant data prior to the specified date, this market will resolve based on the NPM data published prior to the cessation of coverage, as well as applicable public market capitalization data following an IPO or direct listing.
If a company completes an IPO or direct listing before the specified date, this market will resolve based on its final NPM valuation published between market creation and the IPO or direct listing date, as this market is based on private market valuations only.
If a listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If a listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, only the NPM valuation achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
If two or more companies are tied for the second highest valuation, the markets will resolve in favor of the company that achieved that valuation first. If the valuations were achieved on the same day, the market will resolve in favor of the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Revisions to previously published NPM data made after their initial release will not be considered, unless made to correct clearly erroneous data.
The resolution sources for this market are:
https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-c62b8140-fdeb-428d-a9a6-d04eb3b24b49/data?return_url=https://test8298192.pages.dev/finance/privates
https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-3e197763-4ff8-4d8c-bd1f-cc2792937757/data?return_url=https://test8298192.pages.dev/finance/privates
https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-5e0e75a3-96d6-4893-8f23-9d9bac0ec1db/data?return_url=https://test8298192.pages.dev/finance/privates
https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-53787f17-a704-47a9-895a-cb54833bdb1f/data?return_url=https://test8298192.pages.dev/finance/privates
https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-625e5f47-7ff7-45c4-be95-0305665164bd/data?return_url=https://test8298192.pages.dev/finance/privates
https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-ab5413cb-1c83-497e-b03e-2ed7ca70117d/data?return_url=https://test8298192.pages.dev/finance/privates
https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-86eda4f2-01af-4275-9c70-0ff3c347c62b/data?return_url=https://test8298192.pages.dev/finance/privates
https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-782c0a32-4727-4097-a40b-9a2602f243e7/data?return_url=https://test8298192.pages.dev/finance/privates
https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-30839e0b-2730-4495-839f-1bf638fa9cca/data?return_url=https://test8298192.pages.dev/finance/privates
https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-802a7f97-3625-4614-a13d-d999cf139330/data?return_url=https://test8298192.pages.dev/finance/privates
https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-5bc8aa2b-22b5-48cc-b54a-1310145b0a86/data?return_url=https://test8298192.pages.dev/finance/privates
https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-6edded11-6786-4392-9695-3cce6fda0de0/data?return_url=https://test8298192.pages.dev/finance/privates.Anthropic's dominant 96.9% implied probability reflects its May 2026 Series H round, which raised $65 billion at a $965 billion post-money valuation and established a $47 billion annualized revenue run-rate, positioning it clearly ahead of OpenAI at $852 billion and other listed peers as the clear number-two private company behind SpaceX. Trader consensus incorporates the company's recent confidential IPO filing and sustained enterprise adoption momentum, with limited scope for material valuation shifts before month-end resolution. The primary risk to this positioning would be an unexpected late-June funding event or secondary-market repricing for a rival such as OpenAI or Databricks that materially alters relative enterprise values, though the compressed timeline and established capitalization levels make such outcomes improbable.
This market will resolve to the listed company with the second largest private market valuation on June 30, 2026.
NPM Prices are published for trading days only and are updated once daily at 1:00 PM ET on the following calendar day.
If NPM has not published relevant data for the specified date by 1:00 PM ET on July 1, 2026, this market may remain open until 11:59 PM ET on July 4, 2026. If no further data is released by that time, the market will resolve according to the data available.
If NPM ceases publishing relevant data prior to the specified date, this market will resolve based on the NPM data published prior to the cessation of coverage, as well as applicable public market capitalization data following an IPO or direct listing.
If a company completes an IPO or direct listing before the specified date, this market will resolve based on its final NPM valuation published between market creation and the IPO or direct listing date, as this market is based on private market valuations only.
If a listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If a listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, only the NPM valuation achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
If two or more companies are tied for the second highest valuation, the markets will resolve in favor of the company that achieved that valuation first. If the valuations were achieved on the same day, the market will resolve in favor of the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Revisions to previously published NPM data made after their initial release will not be considered, unless made to correct clearly erroneous data.
The resolution sources for this market are:
https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-c62b8140-fdeb-428d-a9a6-d04eb3b24b49/data?return_url=https://test8298192.pages.dev/finance/privates
https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-3e197763-4ff8-4d8c-bd1f-cc2792937757/data?return_url=https://test8298192.pages.dev/finance/privates
https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-5e0e75a3-96d6-4893-8f23-9d9bac0ec1db/data?return_url=https://test8298192.pages.dev/finance/privates
https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-53787f17-a704-47a9-895a-cb54833bdb1f/data?return_url=https://test8298192.pages.dev/finance/privates
https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-625e5f47-7ff7-45c4-be95-0305665164bd/data?return_url=https://test8298192.pages.dev/finance/privates
https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-ab5413cb-1c83-497e-b03e-2ed7ca70117d/data?return_url=https://test8298192.pages.dev/finance/privates
https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-86eda4f2-01af-4275-9c70-0ff3c347c62b/data?return_url=https://test8298192.pages.dev/finance/privates
https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-782c0a32-4727-4097-a40b-9a2602f243e7/data?return_url=https://test8298192.pages.dev/finance/privates
https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-30839e0b-2730-4495-839f-1bf638fa9cca/data?return_url=https://test8298192.pages.dev/finance/privates
https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-802a7f97-3625-4614-a13d-d999cf139330/data?return_url=https://test8298192.pages.dev/finance/privates
https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-5bc8aa2b-22b5-48cc-b54a-1310145b0a86/data?return_url=https://test8298192.pages.dev/finance/privates
https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-6edded11-6786-4392-9695-3cce6fda0de0/data?return_url=https://test8298192.pages.dev/finance/privates.
NPM Prices are published for trading days only and are updated once daily at 1:00 PM ET on the following calendar day.
If NPM has not published relevant data for the specified date by 1:00 PM ET on July 1, 2026, this market may remain open until 11:59 PM ET on July 4, 2026. If no further data is released by that time, the market will resolve according to the data available.
If NPM ceases publishing relevant data prior to the specified date, this market will resolve based on the NPM data published prior to the cessation of coverage, as well as applicable public market capitalization data following an IPO or direct listing.
If a company completes an IPO or direct listing before the specified date, this market will resolve based on its final NPM valuation published between market creation and the IPO or direct listing date, as this market is based on private market valuations only.
If a listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If a listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, only the NPM valuation achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
If two or more companies are tied for the second highest valuation, the markets will resolve in favor of the company that achieved that valuation first. If the valuations were achieved on the same day, the market will resolve in favor of the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Revisions to previously published NPM data made after their initial release will not be considered, unless made to correct clearly erroneous data.
The resolution sources for this market are:
https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-c62b8140-fdeb-428d-a9a6-d04eb3b24b49/data?return_url=https://test8298192.pages.dev/finance/privates
https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-3e197763-4ff8-4d8c-bd1f-cc2792937757/data?return_url=https://test8298192.pages.dev/finance/privates
https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-5e0e75a3-96d6-4893-8f23-9d9bac0ec1db/data?return_url=https://test8298192.pages.dev/finance/privates
https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-53787f17-a704-47a9-895a-cb54833bdb1f/data?return_url=https://test8298192.pages.dev/finance/privates
https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-625e5f47-7ff7-45c4-be95-0305665164bd/data?return_url=https://test8298192.pages.dev/finance/privates
https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-ab5413cb-1c83-497e-b03e-2ed7ca70117d/data?return_url=https://test8298192.pages.dev/finance/privates
https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-86eda4f2-01af-4275-9c70-0ff3c347c62b/data?return_url=https://test8298192.pages.dev/finance/privates
https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-782c0a32-4727-4097-a40b-9a2602f243e7/data?return_url=https://test8298192.pages.dev/finance/privates
https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-30839e0b-2730-4495-839f-1bf638fa9cca/data?return_url=https://test8298192.pages.dev/finance/privates
https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-802a7f97-3625-4614-a13d-d999cf139330/data?return_url=https://test8298192.pages.dev/finance/privates
https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-5bc8aa2b-22b5-48cc-b54a-1310145b0a86/data?return_url=https://test8298192.pages.dev/finance/privates
https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-6edded11-6786-4392-9695-3cce6fda0de0/data?return_url=https://test8298192.pages.dev/finance/privates.
Khối lượng
$49,904Ngày kết thúc
Jul 1, 2026Thị trường mở
May 19, 2026, 5:48 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic's dominant 96.9% implied probability reflects its May 2026 Series H round, which raised $65 billion at a $965 billion post-money valuation and established a $47 billion annualized revenue run-rate, positioning it clearly ahead of OpenAI at $852 billion and other listed peers as the clear number-two private company behind SpaceX. Trader consensus incorporates the company's recent confidential IPO filing and sustained enterprise adoption momentum, with limited scope for material valuation shifts before month-end resolution. The primary risk to this positioning would be an unexpected late-June funding event or secondary-market repricing for a rival such as OpenAI or Databricks that materially alters relative enterprise values, though the compressed timeline and established capitalization levels make such outcomes improbable.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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