Recent progress with Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.6 has driven trader focus, as the model quadrupled its prior Tier 4 score on the Epoch AI FrontierMath benchmark to roughly 22 percent while reaching 40 percent on Tiers 1-3, statistically tying OpenAI's GPT-5.2. This reflects iterative gains in advanced mathematical reasoning on the unpublished research-level problems that define the benchmark, though the latest GPT-5.4 still leads overall at 47.6 percent. Traders are watching for a possible Claude 4.7 or Mythos preview ahead of the June 30 deadline, alongside Epoch's ongoing correction of roughly one-third of benchmark problems flagged for errors. These developments highlight the narrow gap in frontier AI math capabilities amid rapid model releases.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật$61,941 KL.
Feb 28, 2026
50%+
53%
$61,941 KL.
50%+
$14,907 KL.
53%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Anthropic Claude model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent progress with Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.6 has driven trader focus, as the model quadrupled its prior Tier 4 score on the Epoch AI FrontierMath benchmark to roughly 22 percent while reaching 40 percent on Tiers 1-3, statistically tying OpenAI's GPT-5.2. This reflects iterative gains in advanced mathematical reasoning on the unpublished research-level problems that define the benchmark, though the latest GPT-5.4 still leads overall at 47.6 percent. Traders are watching for a possible Claude 4.7 or Mythos preview ahead of the June 30 deadline, alongside Epoch's ongoing correction of roughly one-third of benchmark problems flagged for errors. These developments highlight the narrow gap in frontier AI math capabilities amid rapid model releases.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Anthropic Claude model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: Jan 30, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Khối lượng
$61,941Ngày kết thúc
Jun 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 30, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Anthropic Claude model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent progress with Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.6 has driven trader focus, as the model quadrupled its prior Tier 4 score on the Epoch AI FrontierMath benchmark to roughly 22 percent while reaching 40 percent on Tiers 1-3, statistically tying OpenAI's GPT-5.2. This reflects iterative gains in advanced mathematical reasoning on the unpublished research-level problems that define the benchmark, though the latest GPT-5.4 still leads overall at 47.6 percent. Traders are watching for a possible Claude 4.7 or Mythos preview ahead of the June 30 deadline, alongside Epoch's ongoing correction of roughly one-third of benchmark problems flagged for errors. These developments highlight the narrow gap in frontier AI math capabilities amid rapid model releases.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Anthropic Claude model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Khối lượng
$61,941Ngày kết thúc
Jun 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 30, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent progress with Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.6 has driven trader focus, as the model quadrupled its prior Tier 4 score on the Epoch AI FrontierMath benchmark to roughly 22 percent while reaching 40 percent on Tiers 1-3, statistically tying OpenAI's GPT-5.2. This reflects iterative gains in advanced mathematical reasoning on the unpublished research-level problems that define the benchmark, though the latest GPT-5.4 still leads overall at 47.6 percent. Traders are watching for a possible Claude 4.7 or Mythos preview ahead of the June 30 deadline, alongside Epoch's ongoing correction of roughly one-third of benchmark problems flagged for errors. These developments highlight the narrow gap in frontier AI math capabilities amid rapid model releases.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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