Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Anthropic achieving a closing IPO market cap exceeding $600 billion at 88% implied probability, propelled by explosive private valuations from recent funding talks valuing the company at $900 billion or more for a potential $30 billion raise reported May 12–13, 2026. This surge stems from Anthropic's Claude large language models— including frequent 2026 releases like Opus 4.7—driving annualized revenue past $30 billion, enterprise adoption, and strategic commitments from Google (up to $40 billion) and Amazon. Secondary market trading implied peaks over $1.4 trillion before a dip amid Anthropic's May 12 warning against unauthorized share tokens. Lower brackets languish below 2% due to these sky-high benchmarks, with an 11% chance of no IPO by end-2027 if regulatory or market headwinds delay a late-2026 listing. Watch for funding closure and IPO bank engagements as key catalysts.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật600B+ 88%
No IPO by December 31, 2027 11%
400–600B 1.6%
300–400B <1%
$297,523 KL.
$297,523 KL.
Dec 31, 2027
<100B
<1%
100–200B
<1%
200–300B
<1%
300–400B
<1%
400–600B
2%
600B+
88%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
11%
600B+ 88%
No IPO by December 31, 2027 11%
400–600B 1.6%
300–400B <1%
$297,523 KL.
$297,523 KL.
Dec 31, 2027
<100B
$138,181 KL.
<1%
100–200B
$53,388 KL.
<1%
200–300B
$8,864 KL.
<1%
300–400B
$60,093 KL.
<1%
400–600B
$9,125 KL.
2%
600B+
$15,215 KL.
88%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
$12,657 KL.
11%
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Anthropic achieving a closing IPO market cap exceeding $600 billion at 88% implied probability, propelled by explosive private valuations from recent funding talks valuing the company at $900 billion or more for a potential $30 billion raise reported May 12–13, 2026. This surge stems from Anthropic's Claude large language models— including frequent 2026 releases like Opus 4.7—driving annualized revenue past $30 billion, enterprise adoption, and strategic commitments from Google (up to $40 billion) and Amazon. Secondary market trading implied peaks over $1.4 trillion before a dip amid Anthropic's May 12 warning against unauthorized share tokens. Lower brackets languish below 2% due to these sky-high benchmarks, with an 11% chance of no IPO by end-2027 if regulatory or market headwinds delay a late-2026 listing. Watch for funding closure and IPO bank engagements as key catalysts.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Thị trường mở: Feb 4, 2026, 1:21 PM ET
Khối lượng
$297,523Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2027Thị trường mở
Feb 4, 2026, 1:21 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Anthropic achieving a closing IPO market cap exceeding $600 billion at 88% implied probability, propelled by explosive private valuations from recent funding talks valuing the company at $900 billion or more for a potential $30 billion raise reported May 12–13, 2026. This surge stems from Anthropic's Claude large language models— including frequent 2026 releases like Opus 4.7—driving annualized revenue past $30 billion, enterprise adoption, and strategic commitments from Google (up to $40 billion) and Amazon. Secondary market trading implied peaks over $1.4 trillion before a dip amid Anthropic's May 12 warning against unauthorized share tokens. Lower brackets languish below 2% due to these sky-high benchmarks, with an 11% chance of no IPO by end-2027 if regulatory or market headwinds delay a late-2026 listing. Watch for funding closure and IPO bank engagements as key catalysts.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Khối lượng
$297,523Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2027Thị trường mở
Feb 4, 2026, 1:21 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Anthropic achieving a closing IPO market cap exceeding $600 billion at 88% implied probability, propelled by explosive private valuations from recent funding talks valuing the company at $900 billion or more for a potential $30 billion raise reported May 12–13, 2026. This surge stems from Anthropic's Claude large language models— including frequent 2026 releases like Opus 4.7—driving annualized revenue past $30 billion, enterprise adoption, and strategic commitments from Google (up to $40 billion) and Amazon. Secondary market trading implied peaks over $1.4 trillion before a dip amid Anthropic's May 12 warning against unauthorized share tokens. Lower brackets languish below 2% due to these sky-high benchmarks, with an 11% chance of no IPO by end-2027 if regulatory or market headwinds delay a late-2026 listing. Watch for funding closure and IPO bank engagements as key catalysts.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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