Anthropic’s rapid revenue expansion to a $65 billion annualized run rate by July 2026, following its $65 billion Series H round at a $965 billion post-money valuation in May, forms the core driver behind current Polymarket odds clustering around the $1.75–$2.5 trillion first-day closing market cap bins. Preparations for an October Nasdaq listing, including a confidential S-1 filed in June and reported discussions with Nvidia as a potential $10 billion anchor investor, reinforce expectations for a debut near or above $2 trillion amid strong AI demand. Trader consensus, reflected in these closely matched probabilities, incorporates uncertainty over public-market multiples on forward revenue projections and broader sector sentiment, with secondary trading recently implying valuations above $1 trillion. Key near-term catalysts include the anticipated public filing and roadshow timing before the November midterms.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật$2.25–$2.5T 23%
$2.0–$2.25T 21.8%
$1.75–$2.0T 20%
$2.5–$2.75T 14.2%
$744,262 KL.
$744,262 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
<$1.25T
2%
$1.25–$1.5T
3%
$1.5–$1.75T
9%
$1.75–$2.0T
20%
$2.0–$2.25T
22%
$2.25–$2.5T
23%
$2.5–$2.75T
14%
$2.75–$3.0T
4%
$3.0T+
4%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
2%
$2.25–$2.5T 23%
$2.0–$2.25T 21.8%
$1.75–$2.0T 20%
$2.5–$2.75T 14.2%
$744,262 KL.
$744,262 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
<$1.25T
$96,444 KL.
2%
$1.25–$1.5T
$79,601 KL.
3%
$1.5–$1.75T
$101,275 KL.
9%
$1.75–$2.0T
$87,931 KL.
20%
$2.0–$2.25T
$99,285 KL.
22%
$2.25–$2.5T
$75,824 KL.
23%
$2.5–$2.75T
$64,816 KL.
14%
$2.75–$3.0T
$34,564 KL.
4%
$3.0T+
$57,172 KL.
4%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
$47,349 KL.
2%
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Anthropic’s rapid revenue expansion to a $65 billion annualized run rate by July 2026, following its $65 billion Series H round at a $965 billion post-money valuation in May, forms the core driver behind current Polymarket odds clustering around the $1.75–$2.5 trillion first-day closing market cap bins. Preparations for an October Nasdaq listing, including a confidential S-1 filed in June and reported discussions with Nvidia as a potential $10 billion anchor investor, reinforce expectations for a debut near or above $2 trillion amid strong AI demand. Trader consensus, reflected in these closely matched probabilities, incorporates uncertainty over public-market multiples on forward revenue projections and broader sector sentiment, with secondary trading recently implying valuations above $1 trillion. Key near-term catalysts include the anticipated public filing and roadshow timing before the November midterms.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Thị trường mở: Jun 1, 2026, 5:04 PM ET
Khối lượng
$744,262Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2027Thị trường mở
Jun 1, 2026, 5:04 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Anthropic’s rapid revenue expansion to a $65 billion annualized run rate by July 2026, following its $65 billion Series H round at a $965 billion post-money valuation in May, forms the core driver behind current Polymarket odds clustering around the $1.75–$2.5 trillion first-day closing market cap bins. Preparations for an October Nasdaq listing, including a confidential S-1 filed in June and reported discussions with Nvidia as a potential $10 billion anchor investor, reinforce expectations for a debut near or above $2 trillion amid strong AI demand. Trader consensus, reflected in these closely matched probabilities, incorporates uncertainty over public-market multiples on forward revenue projections and broader sector sentiment, with secondary trading recently implying valuations above $1 trillion. Key near-term catalysts include the anticipated public filing and roadshow timing before the November midterms.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Khối lượng
$744,262Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2027Thị trường mở
Jun 1, 2026, 5:04 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic’s rapid revenue expansion to a $65 billion annualized run rate by July 2026, following its $65 billion Series H round at a $965 billion post-money valuation in May, forms the core driver behind current Polymarket odds clustering around the $1.75–$2.5 trillion first-day closing market cap bins. Preparations for an October Nasdaq listing, including a confidential S-1 filed in June and reported discussions with Nvidia as a potential $10 billion anchor investor, reinforce expectations for a debut near or above $2 trillion amid strong AI demand. Trader consensus, reflected in these closely matched probabilities, incorporates uncertainty over public-market multiples on forward revenue projections and broader sector sentiment, with secondary trading recently implying valuations above $1 trillion. Key near-term catalysts include the anticipated public filing and roadshow timing before the November midterms.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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