Trader consensus on Polymarket's Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap market prices a 39.5% implied probability for a $1.8 trillion-plus debut, fueled by explosive secondary market valuations hitting $1.4 trillion last week and fresh reports of talks for a $30 billion funding round at $900–950 billion pre-money as of May 12. Anthropic's Claude models maintain frontier AI leadership on benchmarks like LMSYS Arena, driving $30–39 billion annualized revenue from enterprise deals with over 300,000 business customers, outpacing OpenAI. Mid-tier outcomes like $1.2–1.5 trillion (15%) reflect potential IPO moderation, while no-IPO-by-2027 odds (13.5%) account for regulatory hurdles and timeline slips. Watch for S-1 filing or funding close amid Q4 2026 IPO speculation.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật1.8T+ 40%
1.2–1.5T 16%
No IPO by December 31, 2027 14%
0.9–1.2T 13%
$45,286 KL.
$45,286 KL.
Dec 31, 2027
<0.6T
4%
0.6–0.9T
6%
0.9–1.2T
13%
1.2–1.5T
16%
1.5–1.8T
13%
1.8T+
40%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
14%
1.8T+ 40%
1.2–1.5T 16%
No IPO by December 31, 2027 14%
0.9–1.2T 13%
$45,286 KL.
$45,286 KL.
Dec 31, 2027
<0.6T
$3,442 KL.
4%
0.6–0.9T
$7,164 KL.
6%
0.9–1.2T
$5,564 KL.
13%
1.2–1.5T
$5,185 KL.
16%
1.5–1.8T
$5,070 KL.
13%
1.8T+
$11,487 KL.
40%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
$7,373 KL.
14%
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket's Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap market prices a 39.5% implied probability for a $1.8 trillion-plus debut, fueled by explosive secondary market valuations hitting $1.4 trillion last week and fresh reports of talks for a $30 billion funding round at $900–950 billion pre-money as of May 12. Anthropic's Claude models maintain frontier AI leadership on benchmarks like LMSYS Arena, driving $30–39 billion annualized revenue from enterprise deals with over 300,000 business customers, outpacing OpenAI. Mid-tier outcomes like $1.2–1.5 trillion (15%) reflect potential IPO moderation, while no-IPO-by-2027 odds (13.5%) account for regulatory hurdles and timeline slips. Watch for S-1 filing or funding close amid Q4 2026 IPO speculation.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Thị trường mở: Apr 30, 2026, 3:13 PM ET
Khối lượng
$45,286Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2027Thị trường mở
Apr 30, 2026, 3:13 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket's Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap market prices a 39.5% implied probability for a $1.8 trillion-plus debut, fueled by explosive secondary market valuations hitting $1.4 trillion last week and fresh reports of talks for a $30 billion funding round at $900–950 billion pre-money as of May 12. Anthropic's Claude models maintain frontier AI leadership on benchmarks like LMSYS Arena, driving $30–39 billion annualized revenue from enterprise deals with over 300,000 business customers, outpacing OpenAI. Mid-tier outcomes like $1.2–1.5 trillion (15%) reflect potential IPO moderation, while no-IPO-by-2027 odds (13.5%) account for regulatory hurdles and timeline slips. Watch for S-1 filing or funding close amid Q4 2026 IPO speculation.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Khối lượng
$45,286Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2027Thị trường mở
Apr 30, 2026, 3:13 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket's Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap market prices a 39.5% implied probability for a $1.8 trillion-plus debut, fueled by explosive secondary market valuations hitting $1.4 trillion last week and fresh reports of talks for a $30 billion funding round at $900–950 billion pre-money as of May 12. Anthropic's Claude models maintain frontier AI leadership on benchmarks like LMSYS Arena, driving $30–39 billion annualized revenue from enterprise deals with over 300,000 business customers, outpacing OpenAI. Mid-tier outcomes like $1.2–1.5 trillion (15%) reflect potential IPO moderation, while no-IPO-by-2027 odds (13.5%) account for regulatory hurdles and timeline slips. Watch for S-1 filing or funding close amid Q4 2026 IPO speculation.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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