Cerebras Systems' IPO pricing at $185 per share on May 14—raising $5.55 billion in 2026's largest U.S. tech listing to date and achieving 20x oversubscription—has locked in 100% trader consensus for its pre-2027 debut, exemplifying robust demand for AI chipmakers challenging Nvidia's dominance with wafer-scale engines. SpaceX follows at 94% implied probability, propelled by reports of an H2 2026 launch eyeing a $1.75 trillion valuation amid Starlink's broadband expansion and defense contracts. Anthropic's 66% odds reflect accelerating enterprise adoption of its Claude large language models, while Discord's 52% stems from gaming platform growth; OpenAI lags at 35% due to ongoing governance hurdles. Traders monitor confidential S-1 filings and developer conferences as catalysts through year-end resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật$6,200,488 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
Cerebras
100%
SpaceX
94%
Anthropic
63%
Discord
53%
Từ xa
32%
OpenAI
31%
Deel
21%
Anduril
19%
Epic Games
18%
Mistral AI
16%
Rippling
15%
Databricks
15%
Applied Intuition
15%
ByteDance
13%
SHEIN
13%
Freddie Mac
12%
Glean
12%
Fannie Mae
12%
Ledger
11%
WHOOP
11%
Ramp
11%
Anduril Industries
10%
Ripple Labs
9%
Vanta
9%
Stripe
9%
Celonis
7%
Revolut
7%
Anysphere (Cursor)
7%
Waymo
6%
Canva
5%
Brex
1%
$6,200,488 KL.
Cerebras
$423,390 KL.
100%
SpaceX
$571,907 KL.
94%
Anthropic
$224,745 KL.
63%
Discord
$445,595 KL.
53%
Từ xa
$54,425 KL.
32%
OpenAI
$232,995 KL.
31%
Deel
$121,830 KL.
21%
Anduril
$351,453 KL.
19%
Epic Games
$73,290 KL.
18%
Mistral AI
$148,537 KL.
16%
Rippling
$117,247 KL.
15%
Databricks
$467,927 KL.
15%
Applied Intuition
$191,750 KL.
15%
ByteDance
$10,461 KL.
13%
SHEIN
$78,463 KL.
13%
Freddie Mac
$244,611 KL.
12%
Glean
$44,644 KL.
12%
Fannie Mae
$161,250 KL.
12%
Ledger
$509,649 KL.
11%
WHOOP
$178 KL.
11%
Ramp
$144,033 KL.
11%
Anduril Industries
$31,346 KL.
10%
Ripple Labs
$145,650 KL.
9%
Vanta
$130,411 KL.
9%
Stripe
$250,193 KL.
9%
Celonis
$207,858 KL.
7%
Revolut
$56,710 KL.
7%
Anysphere (Cursor)
$97,073 KL.
7%
Waymo
$52,146 KL.
6%
Canva
$35,637 KL.
5%
Brex
$214,423 KL.
1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No".
This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
If the listed company undergoes a merger, this will only qualify for a “No” resolution if the transaction results in the listed company being fully absorbed, dissolved, or otherwise no longer capable of independently conducting an Initial Public Offering. Transactions in which the listed company continues as a parent or successor will not alone qualify for a “No” resolution.
This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Cerebras Systems' IPO pricing at $185 per share on May 14—raising $5.55 billion in 2026's largest U.S. tech listing to date and achieving 20x oversubscription—has locked in 100% trader consensus for its pre-2027 debut, exemplifying robust demand for AI chipmakers challenging Nvidia's dominance with wafer-scale engines. SpaceX follows at 94% implied probability, propelled by reports of an H2 2026 launch eyeing a $1.75 trillion valuation amid Starlink's broadband expansion and defense contracts. Anthropic's 66% odds reflect accelerating enterprise adoption of its Claude large language models, while Discord's 52% stems from gaming platform growth; OpenAI lags at 35% due to ongoing governance hurdles. Traders monitor confidential S-1 filings and developer conferences as catalysts through year-end resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No".
This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No".
This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Thị trường mở: Nov 12, 2025, 4:27 PM ET
Khối lượng
$6,200,488Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Nov 12, 2025, 4:27 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No".
This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
If the listed company undergoes a merger, this will only qualify for a “No” resolution if the transaction results in the listed company being fully absorbed, dissolved, or otherwise no longer capable of independently conducting an Initial Public Offering. Transactions in which the listed company continues as a parent or successor will not alone qualify for a “No” resolution.
This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Cerebras Systems' IPO pricing at $185 per share on May 14—raising $5.55 billion in 2026's largest U.S. tech listing to date and achieving 20x oversubscription—has locked in 100% trader consensus for its pre-2027 debut, exemplifying robust demand for AI chipmakers challenging Nvidia's dominance with wafer-scale engines. SpaceX follows at 94% implied probability, propelled by reports of an H2 2026 launch eyeing a $1.75 trillion valuation amid Starlink's broadband expansion and defense contracts. Anthropic's 66% odds reflect accelerating enterprise adoption of its Claude large language models, while Discord's 52% stems from gaming platform growth; OpenAI lags at 35% due to ongoing governance hurdles. Traders monitor confidential S-1 filings and developer conferences as catalysts through year-end resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No".
This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No".
This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Khối lượng
$6,200,488Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Nov 12, 2025, 4:27 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Cerebras Systems' IPO pricing at $185 per share on May 14—raising $5.55 billion in 2026's largest U.S. tech listing to date and achieving 20x oversubscription—has locked in 100% trader consensus for its pre-2027 debut, exemplifying robust demand for AI chipmakers challenging Nvidia's dominance with wafer-scale engines. SpaceX follows at 94% implied probability, propelled by reports of an H2 2026 launch eyeing a $1.75 trillion valuation amid Starlink's broadband expansion and defense contracts. Anthropic's 66% odds reflect accelerating enterprise adoption of its Claude large language models, while Discord's 52% stems from gaming platform growth; OpenAI lags at 35% due to ongoing governance hurdles. Traders monitor confidential S-1 filings and developer conferences as catalysts through year-end resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp