Trader consensus on Polymarket favors Anthropic at 67.5% implied probability to IPO first over OpenAI, driven by Anthropic's aggressive momentum in recent funding talks for $30-50 billion at a potential $900-950 billion valuation—reported just days ago—paired with explicit plans for an October 2026 public debut amid surging enterprise AI adoption for its Claude models. OpenAI, despite closing a record $122 billion round at $852 billion in late March, faces headwinds from Wall Street Journal reports of missed user and revenue targets, CFO skepticism on a 2026 listing due to massive compute commitments, and analyst views that its Q4 timeline is slipping. Key catalysts ahead include funding round closures and S-1 filings, with Anthropic's valuation overtake signaling stronger public market readiness in the intensifying AI lab rivalry.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtAnthropic
$54,266 KL.
$54,266 KL.
Dec 31, 2027
Anthropic
$54,266 KL.
$54,266 KL.
Dec 31, 2027
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors Anthropic at 67.5% implied probability to IPO first over OpenAI, driven by Anthropic's aggressive momentum in recent funding talks for $30-50 billion at a potential $900-950 billion valuation—reported just days ago—paired with explicit plans for an October 2026 public debut amid surging enterprise AI adoption for its Claude models. OpenAI, despite closing a record $122 billion round at $852 billion in late March, faces headwinds from Wall Street Journal reports of missed user and revenue targets, CFO skepticism on a 2026 listing due to massive compute commitments, and analyst views that its Q4 timeline is slipping. Key catalysts ahead include funding round closures and S-1 filings, with Anthropic's valuation overtake signaling stronger public market readiness in the intensifying AI lab rivalry.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Thị trường mở: Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ET
Khối lượng
$54,266Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2027Thị trường mở
Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors Anthropic at 67.5% implied probability to IPO first over OpenAI, driven by Anthropic's aggressive momentum in recent funding talks for $30-50 billion at a potential $900-950 billion valuation—reported just days ago—paired with explicit plans for an October 2026 public debut amid surging enterprise AI adoption for its Claude models. OpenAI, despite closing a record $122 billion round at $852 billion in late March, faces headwinds from Wall Street Journal reports of missed user and revenue targets, CFO skepticism on a 2026 listing due to massive compute commitments, and analyst views that its Q4 timeline is slipping. Key catalysts ahead include funding round closures and S-1 filings, with Anthropic's valuation overtake signaling stronger public market readiness in the intensifying AI lab rivalry.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Khối lượng
$54,266Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2027Thị trường mở
Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors Anthropic at 67.5% implied probability to IPO first over OpenAI, driven by Anthropic's aggressive momentum in recent funding talks for $30-50 billion at a potential $900-950 billion valuation—reported just days ago—paired with explicit plans for an October 2026 public debut amid surging enterprise AI adoption for its Claude models. OpenAI, despite closing a record $122 billion round at $852 billion in late March, faces headwinds from Wall Street Journal reports of missed user and revenue targets, CFO skepticism on a 2026 listing due to massive compute commitments, and analyst views that its Q4 timeline is slipping. Key catalysts ahead include funding round closures and S-1 filings, with Anthropic's valuation overtake signaling stronger public market readiness in the intensifying AI lab rivalry.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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