The June 2026 confidential S-1 filing with the SEC, paired with recent pre-IPO investor meetings and rapid revenue growth to a $47 billion run rate, drives trader consensus toward an October 2026 listing at 57.5% implied probability. Anthropic’s $965 billion post-money valuation after the May Series H round, alongside its Claude large language model advancements and hyperscaler partnerships, bolsters positioning for a Nasdaq debut ahead of peers like OpenAI. Standard three-to-six-month SEC review timelines and fall window reports reinforce this lead, though final timing hinges on market conditions, public filing completion, and any regulatory or macroeconomic shifts that could extend into late 2026 or 2027.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtOctober 2026 57%
November 2026 12%
September 2026 9%
December 2026 8%
September 2026
9%
October 2026
57%
November 2026
12%
December 2026
8%
January 2027
8%
February 2027
6%
March 2027
5%
April 2027
4%
May 2027
5%
June 2027
5%
July 2027
4%
August 2027
4%
September 2027
4%
October 2027
1%
November 2027
4%
December 2027
4%
No IPO before 2028
5%
October 2026 57%
November 2026 12%
September 2026 9%
December 2026 8%
September 2026
9%
October 2026
57%
November 2026
12%
December 2026
8%
January 2027
8%
February 2027
6%
March 2027
5%
April 2027
4%
May 2027
5%
June 2027
5%
July 2027
4%
August 2027
4%
September 2027
4%
October 2027
1%
November 2027
4%
December 2027
4%
No IPO before 2028
5%
An IPO refers to Anthropic shares becoming listed and open for trading on a public securities exchange, whether through a traditional initial public offering or a direct listing.
If Anthropic goes public through a merger, acquisition, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded, including a special purpose acquisition company, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
Thị trường mở: Aug 19, 2026, 9:36 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...An IPO refers to Anthropic shares becoming listed and open for trading on a public securities exchange, whether through a traditional initial public offering or a direct listing.
If Anthropic goes public through a merger, acquisition, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded, including a special purpose acquisition company, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The June 2026 confidential S-1 filing with the SEC, paired with recent pre-IPO investor meetings and rapid revenue growth to a $47 billion run rate, drives trader consensus toward an October 2026 listing at 57.5% implied probability. Anthropic’s $965 billion post-money valuation after the May Series H round, alongside its Claude large language model advancements and hyperscaler partnerships, bolsters positioning for a Nasdaq debut ahead of peers like OpenAI. Standard three-to-six-month SEC review timelines and fall window reports reinforce this lead, though final timing hinges on market conditions, public filing completion, and any regulatory or macroeconomic shifts that could extend into late 2026 or 2027.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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