Anthropic’s closely matched odds between the sub-$1.25 trillion and $1.5–1.75 trillion brackets stem primarily from its May 2026 Series H round at a $965 billion post-money valuation on a $47 billion revenue run-rate, followed by a confidential IPO filing targeting a possible October 2026 debut. Traders weigh the company’s enterprise traction with Claude models and coding tools, plus deep partnerships with Amazon, Google, and others for compute, against broader AI valuation compression and execution risks. Competitive positioning versus OpenAI and OpenAI’s own funding trajectory further shapes sentiment, while any delays in the listing process or shifts in market multiples could swing resolution between the top two outcomes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật$1.25–$1.50T 53%
<$1.25T 49%
$1.50–$1.75T 49%
$1.75–$2.00T 46%
MỚI
MỚI
Dec 31, 2027
<$1.25T
49%
$1.25–$1.50T
53%
$1.50–$1.75T
49%
$1.75–$2.00T
46%
$2.00–$2.25T
13%
$2.25–$2.50T
12%
$2.50T+
10%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
6%
$1.25–$1.50T 53%
<$1.25T 49%
$1.50–$1.75T 49%
$1.75–$2.00T 46%
MỚI
MỚI
Dec 31, 2027
<$1.25T
$0 KL.
49%
$1.25–$1.50T
$0 KL.
53%
$1.50–$1.75T
$0 KL.
49%
$1.75–$2.00T
$0 KL.
46%
$2.00–$2.25T
$0 KL.
13%
$2.25–$2.50T
$0 KL.
12%
$2.50T+
$0 KL.
10%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
$0 KL.
6%
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of Anthropic at its initial public offering (IPO) price. Anthropic refers to Anthropic PBC or the corporate successor or parent holding company whose listing represents Anthropic's business.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered. Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
The IPO valuation will be determined in the following order of precedence: (1) the implied fully diluted valuation at the final IPO price, as stated in the final prospectus or in an official Anthropic announcement; (2) if no such figure is stated, the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis as disclosed in the final prospectus, where the fully diluted count includes all outstanding shares of every class and all shares underlying outstanding options, restricted stock units, warrants, and convertible instruments, regardless of vesting or exercise status and without applying the treasury stock method; (3) if the fully diluted share count cannot be determined from the final prospectus, the implied fully diluted IPO valuation as reported by a consensus of credible reporting.
If the determined valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If Anthropic's IPO has not priced by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027". If the IPO prices by the deadline, the market will resolve according to the final prospectus even if it is published after the end date.
If Anthropic becomes publicly traded without a priced initial public offering, including through a direct listing or through a merger, acquisition, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded, this market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Anthropic’s closely matched odds between the sub-$1.25 trillion and $1.5–1.75 trillion brackets stem primarily from its May 2026 Series H round at a $965 billion post-money valuation on a $47 billion revenue run-rate, followed by a confidential IPO filing targeting a possible October 2026 debut. Traders weigh the company’s enterprise traction with Claude models and coding tools, plus deep partnerships with Amazon, Google, and others for compute, against broader AI valuation compression and execution risks. Competitive positioning versus OpenAI and OpenAI’s own funding trajectory further shapes sentiment, while any delays in the listing process or shifts in market multiples could swing resolution between the top two outcomes.
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of Anthropic at its initial public offering (IPO) price. Anthropic refers to Anthropic PBC or the corporate successor or parent holding company whose listing represents Anthropic's business.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered. Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
The IPO valuation will be determined in the following order of precedence: (1) the implied fully diluted valuation at the final IPO price, as stated in the final prospectus or in an official Anthropic announcement; (2) if no such figure is stated, the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis as disclosed in the final prospectus, where the fully diluted count includes all outstanding shares of every class and all shares underlying outstanding options, restricted stock units, warrants, and convertible instruments, regardless of vesting or exercise status and without applying the treasury stock method; (3) if the fully diluted share count cannot be determined from the final prospectus, the implied fully diluted IPO valuation as reported by a consensus of credible reporting.
If the determined valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If Anthropic's IPO has not priced by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027". If the IPO prices by the deadline, the market will resolve according to the final prospectus even if it is published after the end date.
If Anthropic becomes publicly traded without a priced initial public offering, including through a direct listing or through a merger, acquisition, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded, this market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered. Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
The IPO valuation will be determined in the following order of precedence: (1) the implied fully diluted valuation at the final IPO price, as stated in the final prospectus or in an official Anthropic announcement; (2) if no such figure is stated, the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis as disclosed in the final prospectus, where the fully diluted count includes all outstanding shares of every class and all shares underlying outstanding options, restricted stock units, warrants, and convertible instruments, regardless of vesting or exercise status and without applying the treasury stock method; (3) if the fully diluted share count cannot be determined from the final prospectus, the implied fully diluted IPO valuation as reported by a consensus of credible reporting.
If the determined valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If Anthropic's IPO has not priced by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027". If the IPO prices by the deadline, the market will resolve according to the final prospectus even if it is published after the end date.
If Anthropic becomes publicly traded without a priced initial public offering, including through a direct listing or through a merger, acquisition, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded, this market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: Aug 19, 2026, 9:45 AM ET
Khối lượng
$0Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2027Thị trường mở
Aug 19, 2026, 9:45 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of Anthropic at its initial public offering (IPO) price. Anthropic refers to Anthropic PBC or the corporate successor or parent holding company whose listing represents Anthropic's business.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered. Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
The IPO valuation will be determined in the following order of precedence: (1) the implied fully diluted valuation at the final IPO price, as stated in the final prospectus or in an official Anthropic announcement; (2) if no such figure is stated, the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis as disclosed in the final prospectus, where the fully diluted count includes all outstanding shares of every class and all shares underlying outstanding options, restricted stock units, warrants, and convertible instruments, regardless of vesting or exercise status and without applying the treasury stock method; (3) if the fully diluted share count cannot be determined from the final prospectus, the implied fully diluted IPO valuation as reported by a consensus of credible reporting.
If the determined valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If Anthropic's IPO has not priced by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027". If the IPO prices by the deadline, the market will resolve according to the final prospectus even if it is published after the end date.
If Anthropic becomes publicly traded without a priced initial public offering, including through a direct listing or through a merger, acquisition, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded, this market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Anthropic’s closely matched odds between the sub-$1.25 trillion and $1.5–1.75 trillion brackets stem primarily from its May 2026 Series H round at a $965 billion post-money valuation on a $47 billion revenue run-rate, followed by a confidential IPO filing targeting a possible October 2026 debut. Traders weigh the company’s enterprise traction with Claude models and coding tools, plus deep partnerships with Amazon, Google, and others for compute, against broader AI valuation compression and execution risks. Competitive positioning versus OpenAI and OpenAI’s own funding trajectory further shapes sentiment, while any delays in the listing process or shifts in market multiples could swing resolution between the top two outcomes.
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of Anthropic at its initial public offering (IPO) price. Anthropic refers to Anthropic PBC or the corporate successor or parent holding company whose listing represents Anthropic's business.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered. Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
The IPO valuation will be determined in the following order of precedence: (1) the implied fully diluted valuation at the final IPO price, as stated in the final prospectus or in an official Anthropic announcement; (2) if no such figure is stated, the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis as disclosed in the final prospectus, where the fully diluted count includes all outstanding shares of every class and all shares underlying outstanding options, restricted stock units, warrants, and convertible instruments, regardless of vesting or exercise status and without applying the treasury stock method; (3) if the fully diluted share count cannot be determined from the final prospectus, the implied fully diluted IPO valuation as reported by a consensus of credible reporting.
If the determined valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If Anthropic's IPO has not priced by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027". If the IPO prices by the deadline, the market will resolve according to the final prospectus even if it is published after the end date.
If Anthropic becomes publicly traded without a priced initial public offering, including through a direct listing or through a merger, acquisition, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded, this market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered. Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
The IPO valuation will be determined in the following order of precedence: (1) the implied fully diluted valuation at the final IPO price, as stated in the final prospectus or in an official Anthropic announcement; (2) if no such figure is stated, the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis as disclosed in the final prospectus, where the fully diluted count includes all outstanding shares of every class and all shares underlying outstanding options, restricted stock units, warrants, and convertible instruments, regardless of vesting or exercise status and without applying the treasury stock method; (3) if the fully diluted share count cannot be determined from the final prospectus, the implied fully diluted IPO valuation as reported by a consensus of credible reporting.
If the determined valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If Anthropic's IPO has not priced by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027". If the IPO prices by the deadline, the market will resolve according to the final prospectus even if it is published after the end date.
If Anthropic becomes publicly traded without a priced initial public offering, including through a direct listing or through a merger, acquisition, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded, this market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Khối lượng
$0Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2027Thị trường mở
Aug 19, 2026, 9:45 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic’s closely matched odds between the sub-$1.25 trillion and $1.5–1.75 trillion brackets stem primarily from its May 2026 Series H round at a $965 billion post-money valuation on a $47 billion revenue run-rate, followed by a confidential IPO filing targeting a possible October 2026 debut. Traders weigh the company’s enterprise traction with Claude models and coding tools, plus deep partnerships with Amazon, Google, and others for compute, against broader AI valuation compression and execution risks. Competitive positioning versus OpenAI and OpenAI’s own funding trajectory further shapes sentiment, while any delays in the listing process or shifts in market multiples could swing resolution between the top two outcomes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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