OpenAI’s confidential IPO filing and pursuit of a $1 trillion-plus debut valuation amid rapid revenue expansion to roughly $13 billion in 2025—with ambitions to triple that figure—anchor current trader sentiment. Market-implied odds cluster around the $1.5–2.0 trillion range, reflecting strong AI demand, the company’s $852 billion March 2026 private mark, and sector multiples near 40 times sales, tempered by high infrastructure spending, operating losses, and caution following the SpaceX IPO’s post-debut volatility. CFO Sarah Friar’s comments favoring a 2027 timeline over a rushed 2026 listing introduce uncertainty, while competitive positioning against Anthropic and broader tech appetite remain key swing factors. Traders price in these dynamics through real-capital bets on eventual pricing thresholds rather than fixed outcomes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật$1.75T–$2.0T 22%
$1.5T–$1.75T 18.9%
$2.5T+ 15.8%
$2.25T–$2.5T 12.4%
$131,085 KL.
$131,085 KL.
Jun 30, 2027
<$1T
6%
$1.0T–$1.25T
10%
$1.25T–$1.5T
10%
$1.5T–$1.75T
19%
$1.75T–$2.0T
22%
$2.0T–$2.25T
6%
$2.25T–$2.5T
12%
$2.5T+
16%
$1.75T–$2.0T 22%
$1.5T–$1.75T 18.9%
$2.5T+ 15.8%
$2.25T–$2.5T 12.4%
$131,085 KL.
$131,085 KL.
Jun 30, 2027
<$1T
$18,847 KL.
6%
$1.0T–$1.25T
$14,064 KL.
10%
$1.25T–$1.5T
$7,448 KL.
10%
$1.5T–$1.75T
$7,293 KL.
19%
$1.75T–$2.0T
$13,600 KL.
22%
$2.0T–$2.25T
$2,616 KL.
6%
$2.25T–$2.5T
$8,294 KL.
12%
$2.5T+
$58,924 KL.
16%
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of OpenAI at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI’s confidential IPO filing and pursuit of a $1 trillion-plus debut valuation amid rapid revenue expansion to roughly $13 billion in 2025—with ambitions to triple that figure—anchor current trader sentiment. Market-implied odds cluster around the $1.5–2.0 trillion range, reflecting strong AI demand, the company’s $852 billion March 2026 private mark, and sector multiples near 40 times sales, tempered by high infrastructure spending, operating losses, and caution following the SpaceX IPO’s post-debut volatility. CFO Sarah Friar’s comments favoring a 2027 timeline over a rushed 2026 listing introduce uncertainty, while competitive positioning against Anthropic and broader tech appetite remain key swing factors. Traders price in these dynamics through real-capital bets on eventual pricing thresholds rather than fixed outcomes.
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of OpenAI at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: May 21, 2026, 1:27 PM ET
Khối lượng
$131,085Ngày kết thúc
Jul 1, 2027Thị trường mở
May 21, 2026, 1:27 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of OpenAI at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI’s confidential IPO filing and pursuit of a $1 trillion-plus debut valuation amid rapid revenue expansion to roughly $13 billion in 2025—with ambitions to triple that figure—anchor current trader sentiment. Market-implied odds cluster around the $1.5–2.0 trillion range, reflecting strong AI demand, the company’s $852 billion March 2026 private mark, and sector multiples near 40 times sales, tempered by high infrastructure spending, operating losses, and caution following the SpaceX IPO’s post-debut volatility. CFO Sarah Friar’s comments favoring a 2027 timeline over a rushed 2026 listing introduce uncertainty, while competitive positioning against Anthropic and broader tech appetite remain key swing factors. Traders price in these dynamics through real-capital bets on eventual pricing thresholds rather than fixed outcomes.
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of OpenAI at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Khối lượng
$131,085Ngày kết thúc
Jul 1, 2027Thị trường mở
May 21, 2026, 1:27 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...OpenAI’s confidential IPO filing and pursuit of a $1 trillion-plus debut valuation amid rapid revenue expansion to roughly $13 billion in 2025—with ambitions to triple that figure—anchor current trader sentiment. Market-implied odds cluster around the $1.5–2.0 trillion range, reflecting strong AI demand, the company’s $852 billion March 2026 private mark, and sector multiples near 40 times sales, tempered by high infrastructure spending, operating losses, and caution following the SpaceX IPO’s post-debut volatility. CFO Sarah Friar’s comments favoring a 2027 timeline over a rushed 2026 listing introduce uncertainty, while competitive positioning against Anthropic and broader tech appetite remain key swing factors. Traders price in these dynamics through real-capital bets on eventual pricing thresholds rather than fixed outcomes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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