Elon Musk’s X activity over the July 18-20 weekend sits in a tight contest between the sub-40 and 40-64 buckets, with market-implied odds at 43.5% and 39.5%. Traders weigh his baseline posting rhythm—shaped by Tesla and xAI updates, regulatory commentary, and real-time responses to news—against typical weekend moderation. Recent platform engagement trends and any late-breaking corporate or political developments could nudge volume upward, while lighter news cycles or shifts to other channels might keep totals low. The narrow spread reflects uncertainty around timing and external triggers that historically swing his output in short windows.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật40-64 43%
<40 37%
65-89 17%
90-114 3.3%
MỚI
MỚI
Jul 20, 2026
<40
37%
40-64
43%
65-89
17%
90-114
3%
115-139
1%
140-164
1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
40-64 43%
<40 37%
65-89 17%
90-114 3.3%
MỚI
MỚI
Jul 20, 2026
<40
$400 KL.
37%
40-64
$262 KL.
43%
65-89
$303 KL.
17%
90-114
$141 KL.
3%
115-139
$11 KL.
1%
140-164
$151 KL.
1%
165-189
$411 KL.
<1%
190-214
$33 KL.
<1%
215-239
$33 KL.
<1%
240+
$128 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 18 12:00 PM ET to July 20, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s X activity over the July 18-20 weekend sits in a tight contest between the sub-40 and 40-64 buckets, with market-implied odds at 43.5% and 39.5%. Traders weigh his baseline posting rhythm—shaped by Tesla and xAI updates, regulatory commentary, and real-time responses to news—against typical weekend moderation. Recent platform engagement trends and any late-breaking corporate or political developments could nudge volume upward, while lighter news cycles or shifts to other channels might keep totals low. The narrow spread reflects uncertainty around timing and external triggers that historically swing his output in short windows.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 18 12:00 PM ET to July 20, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Thị trường mở: Jul 16, 2026, 12:07 PM ET
Khối lượng
$1,875Ngày kết thúc
Jul 20, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 16, 2026, 12:07 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 18 12:00 PM ET to July 20, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s X activity over the July 18-20 weekend sits in a tight contest between the sub-40 and 40-64 buckets, with market-implied odds at 43.5% and 39.5%. Traders weigh his baseline posting rhythm—shaped by Tesla and xAI updates, regulatory commentary, and real-time responses to news—against typical weekend moderation. Recent platform engagement trends and any late-breaking corporate or political developments could nudge volume upward, while lighter news cycles or shifts to other channels might keep totals low. The narrow spread reflects uncertainty around timing and external triggers that historically swing his output in short windows.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 18 12:00 PM ET to July 20, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Khối lượng
$1,875Ngày kết thúc
Jul 20, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 16, 2026, 12:07 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk’s X activity over the July 18-20 weekend sits in a tight contest between the sub-40 and 40-64 buckets, with market-implied odds at 43.5% and 39.5%. Traders weigh his baseline posting rhythm—shaped by Tesla and xAI updates, regulatory commentary, and real-time responses to news—against typical weekend moderation. Recent platform engagement trends and any late-breaking corporate or political developments could nudge volume upward, while lighter news cycles or shifts to other channels might keep totals low. The narrow spread reflects uncertainty around timing and external triggers that historically swing his output in short windows.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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