Trader consensus on Polymarket locks in near-certainty for Denmark, Australia, Romania, and Ukraine advancing from tonight's Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final at Vienna's Wiener Stadthalle, with implied probabilities of 97-100% driven by standout dress rehearsals on May 13 where Australia's Delta Goodrem's "Eclipse" and Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund's folk-pop entry dominated press and fan reactions. Bulgaria's Dara surged after winning the second semi press poll, lifting its odds to 83% on vibrant "Bangaranga" staging, while frontrunners benefit from historical televote strength—Ukraine's diaspora edge mirroring past runs. Mid-pack like Cyprus (78%) and Norway (61%) hold on jury-friendly ballads, but Azerbaijan trails at 8% amid lackluster reviews. Jury and audience votes tonight determine the top 10 qualifiers for Saturday's grand final, where last-minute stage mishaps could spark upsets.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtEurovision 2026: Second Semi-Final
Eurovision 2026: Second Semi-Final
$602,213 KL.
May 14, 2026
Denmark
100%
Australia
100%
Romania
98%
Ukraine
96%
Bulgaria
94%
Czechia
86%
Albania
85%
Malta
76%
Cyprus
66%
Norway
63%
Switzerland
44%
Latvia
38%
Luxembourg
30%
Armenia
26%
Azerbaijan
7%
$602,213 KL.
Denmark
$14,367 KL.
100%
Australia
$26,086 KL.
100%
Romania
$17,295 KL.
98%
Ukraine
$12,347 KL.
96%
Bulgaria
$88,355 KL.
94%
Czechia
$74,419 KL.
86%
Albania
$49,327 KL.
85%
Malta
$25,537 KL.
76%
Cyprus
$57,553 KL.
66%
Norway
$36,809 KL.
63%
Switzerland
$89,968 KL.
44%
Latvia
$13,914 KL.
38%
Luxembourg
$37,689 KL.
30%
Armenia
$43,495 KL.
26%
Azerbaijan
$15,990 KL.
7%
This market will resolve to the countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Trader consensus on Polymarket locks in near-certainty for Denmark, Australia, Romania, and Ukraine advancing from tonight's Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final at Vienna's Wiener Stadthalle, with implied probabilities of 97-100% driven by standout dress rehearsals on May 13 where Australia's Delta Goodrem's "Eclipse" and Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund's folk-pop entry dominated press and fan reactions. Bulgaria's Dara surged after winning the second semi press poll, lifting its odds to 83% on vibrant "Bangaranga" staging, while frontrunners benefit from historical televote strength—Ukraine's diaspora edge mirroring past runs. Mid-pack like Cyprus (78%) and Norway (61%) hold on jury-friendly ballads, but Azerbaijan trails at 8% amid lackluster reviews. Jury and audience votes tonight determine the top 10 qualifiers for Saturday's grand final, where last-minute stage mishaps could spark upsets.
This market will resolve to the countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Thị trường mở: Jan 16, 2026, 12:27 PM ET
Khối lượng
$602,213Ngày kết thúc
May 14, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 16, 2026, 12:27 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to the countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Trader consensus on Polymarket locks in near-certainty for Denmark, Australia, Romania, and Ukraine advancing from tonight's Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final at Vienna's Wiener Stadthalle, with implied probabilities of 97-100% driven by standout dress rehearsals on May 13 where Australia's Delta Goodrem's "Eclipse" and Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund's folk-pop entry dominated press and fan reactions. Bulgaria's Dara surged after winning the second semi press poll, lifting its odds to 83% on vibrant "Bangaranga" staging, while frontrunners benefit from historical televote strength—Ukraine's diaspora edge mirroring past runs. Mid-pack like Cyprus (78%) and Norway (61%) hold on jury-friendly ballads, but Azerbaijan trails at 8% amid lackluster reviews. Jury and audience votes tonight determine the top 10 qualifiers for Saturday's grand final, where last-minute stage mishaps could spark upsets.
This market will resolve to the countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Khối lượng
$602,213Ngày kết thúc
May 14, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 16, 2026, 12:27 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket locks in near-certainty for Denmark, Australia, Romania, and Ukraine advancing from tonight's Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final at Vienna's Wiener Stadthalle, with implied probabilities of 97-100% driven by standout dress rehearsals on May 13 where Australia's Delta Goodrem's "Eclipse" and Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund's folk-pop entry dominated press and fan reactions. Bulgaria's Dara surged after winning the second semi press poll, lifting its odds to 83% on vibrant "Bangaranga" staging, while frontrunners benefit from historical televote strength—Ukraine's diaspora edge mirroring past runs. Mid-pack like Cyprus (78%) and Norway (61%) hold on jury-friendly ballads, but Azerbaijan trails at 8% amid lackluster reviews. Jury and audience votes tonight determine the top 10 qualifiers for Saturday's grand final, where last-minute stage mishaps could spark upsets.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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