Recent geopolitical tensions in the Middle East have driven sharp increases in Eurozone energy prices, pushing the latest HICP reading to 3.0% year-over-year in April 2026, up from 2.6% in March. This upside surprise has prompted the ECB’s Survey of Professional Forecasters to revise its 2026 headline inflation projection upward to 2.7%, from 1.8% in the prior quarter, citing second-round effects through wages and transport costs. Market-implied odds reflect trader skepticism that these pressures will fully dissipate, assigning the highest probability to outcomes above 3.1% while pricing in a narrower range around the official consensus. Upcoming Eurostat releases and ECB communications on monetary policy will likely influence whether sentiment shifts toward the 2.8–3.0% bucket or sustains the current skew.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtEurozone Annual Inflation 2026
Eurozone Annual Inflation 2026
3.1%+ 62.7%
2.8-3.0% 22.9%
1.9–2.1% 17.4%
<1.0% 12.8%
$12,918 KL.
$12,918 KL.
Jan 19, 2027
<1.0%
16%
1.0–1.2%
4%
1.3–1.5%
1%
1.6–1.8%
20%
1.9–2.1%
17%
2.2–2.4%
11%
2.5–2.7%
11%
2.8-3.0%
23%
3.1%+
63%
3.1%+ 62.7%
2.8-3.0% 22.9%
1.9–2.1% 17.4%
<1.0% 12.8%
$12,918 KL.
$12,918 KL.
Jan 19, 2027
<1.0%
$1,069 KL.
16%
1.0–1.2%
$769 KL.
4%
1.3–1.5%
$2,022 KL.
1%
1.6–1.8%
$1,185 KL.
20%
1.9–2.1%
$2,881 KL.
17%
2.2–2.4%
$1,021 KL.
11%
2.5–2.7%
$1,139 KL.
11%
2.8-3.0%
$635 KL.
23%
3.1%+
$2,196 KL.
63%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the Eurozone over the 12-month period ending December 2026 as reported by Eurostat.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly Eurostat report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 19, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report on the Eurostat website (https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/) by selecting the "Database" option from the "Data" dropdown, opening the "Data navigation tree" folder, then the "Economy and finance" folder, then the "Prices (prc)" folder, then the "Harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) (prc_hicp)" folder, and opening the file named "HICP - monthly data (annual rate of change) (prc_hicp_manr)". The relevant figure can be found in the column for the relevant month in the row marked "Euro area - 20 countries (from 2023)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Eurostat HICP news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/release-calendar or https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/statscal/ges/html/sthicp.en.htmlRecent geopolitical tensions in the Middle East have driven sharp increases in Eurozone energy prices, pushing the latest HICP reading to 3.0% year-over-year in April 2026, up from 2.6% in March. This upside surprise has prompted the ECB’s Survey of Professional Forecasters to revise its 2026 headline inflation projection upward to 2.7%, from 1.8% in the prior quarter, citing second-round effects through wages and transport costs. Market-implied odds reflect trader skepticism that these pressures will fully dissipate, assigning the highest probability to outcomes above 3.1% while pricing in a narrower range around the official consensus. Upcoming Eurostat releases and ECB communications on monetary policy will likely influence whether sentiment shifts toward the 2.8–3.0% bucket or sustains the current skew.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the Eurozone over the 12-month period ending December 2026 as reported by Eurostat.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly Eurostat report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 19, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report on the Eurostat website (https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/) by selecting the "Database" option from the "Data" dropdown, opening the "Data navigation tree" folder, then the "Economy and finance" folder, then the "Prices (prc)" folder, then the "Harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) (prc_hicp)" folder, and opening the file named "HICP - monthly data (annual rate of change) (prc_hicp_manr)". The relevant figure can be found in the column for the relevant month in the row marked "Euro area - 20 countries (from 2023)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Eurostat HICP news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/release-calendar or https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/statscal/ges/html/sthicp.en.html
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly Eurostat report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 19, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report on the Eurostat website (https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/) by selecting the "Database" option from the "Data" dropdown, opening the "Data navigation tree" folder, then the "Economy and finance" folder, then the "Prices (prc)" folder, then the "Harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) (prc_hicp)" folder, and opening the file named "HICP - monthly data (annual rate of change) (prc_hicp_manr)". The relevant figure can be found in the column for the relevant month in the row marked "Euro area - 20 countries (from 2023)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Eurostat HICP news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/release-calendar or https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/statscal/ges/html/sthicp.en.html
Thị trường mở: Jan 21, 2026, 7:24 PM ET
Khối lượng
$12,918Ngày kết thúc
Jan 19, 2027Thị trường mở
Jan 21, 2026, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the Eurozone over the 12-month period ending December 2026 as reported by Eurostat.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly Eurostat report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 19, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report on the Eurostat website (https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/) by selecting the "Database" option from the "Data" dropdown, opening the "Data navigation tree" folder, then the "Economy and finance" folder, then the "Prices (prc)" folder, then the "Harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) (prc_hicp)" folder, and opening the file named "HICP - monthly data (annual rate of change) (prc_hicp_manr)". The relevant figure can be found in the column for the relevant month in the row marked "Euro area - 20 countries (from 2023)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Eurostat HICP news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/release-calendar or https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/statscal/ges/html/sthicp.en.htmlRecent geopolitical tensions in the Middle East have driven sharp increases in Eurozone energy prices, pushing the latest HICP reading to 3.0% year-over-year in April 2026, up from 2.6% in March. This upside surprise has prompted the ECB’s Survey of Professional Forecasters to revise its 2026 headline inflation projection upward to 2.7%, from 1.8% in the prior quarter, citing second-round effects through wages and transport costs. Market-implied odds reflect trader skepticism that these pressures will fully dissipate, assigning the highest probability to outcomes above 3.1% while pricing in a narrower range around the official consensus. Upcoming Eurostat releases and ECB communications on monetary policy will likely influence whether sentiment shifts toward the 2.8–3.0% bucket or sustains the current skew.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the Eurozone over the 12-month period ending December 2026 as reported by Eurostat.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly Eurostat report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 19, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report on the Eurostat website (https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/) by selecting the "Database" option from the "Data" dropdown, opening the "Data navigation tree" folder, then the "Economy and finance" folder, then the "Prices (prc)" folder, then the "Harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) (prc_hicp)" folder, and opening the file named "HICP - monthly data (annual rate of change) (prc_hicp_manr)". The relevant figure can be found in the column for the relevant month in the row marked "Euro area - 20 countries (from 2023)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Eurostat HICP news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/release-calendar or https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/statscal/ges/html/sthicp.en.html
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly Eurostat report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 19, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report on the Eurostat website (https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/) by selecting the "Database" option from the "Data" dropdown, opening the "Data navigation tree" folder, then the "Economy and finance" folder, then the "Prices (prc)" folder, then the "Harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) (prc_hicp)" folder, and opening the file named "HICP - monthly data (annual rate of change) (prc_hicp_manr)". The relevant figure can be found in the column for the relevant month in the row marked "Euro area - 20 countries (from 2023)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Eurostat HICP news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/release-calendar or https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/statscal/ges/html/sthicp.en.html
Khối lượng
$12,918Ngày kết thúc
Jan 19, 2027Thị trường mở
Jan 21, 2026, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent geopolitical tensions in the Middle East have driven sharp increases in Eurozone energy prices, pushing the latest HICP reading to 3.0% year-over-year in April 2026, up from 2.6% in March. This upside surprise has prompted the ECB’s Survey of Professional Forecasters to revise its 2026 headline inflation projection upward to 2.7%, from 1.8% in the prior quarter, citing second-round effects through wages and transport costs. Market-implied odds reflect trader skepticism that these pressures will fully dissipate, assigning the highest probability to outcomes above 3.1% while pricing in a narrower range around the official consensus. Upcoming Eurostat releases and ECB communications on monetary policy will likely influence whether sentiment shifts toward the 2.8–3.0% bucket or sustains the current skew.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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