Trader consensus in the FL-23 Democratic primary reflects a tight contest between incumbent Jared Moskowitz at 36% and challenger Oliver Larkin at 35.5%, driven by an ideological divide appealing to the district's diverse Broward and Palm Beach County voters. Moskowitz holds an edge from incumbency, strong Q1 fundraising, and establishment support amid AIPAC backing and his moderate "Ron DeSantis Democrat" profile, but Larkin's progressive surge—fueled by recent Democratic Socialists of America, Progressive Change Campaign Committee, and Progressive Democrats of America endorsements, plus a May 7 American Prospect profile highlighting criticisms of Moskowitz's pro-Israel stance, stock trading, and lack of town halls—has narrowed the gap since a March poll showing Moskowitz at 45% to Larkin's 11%. Separation could emerge from Q2 fundraising disclosures, major endorsements, debates, or new polls ahead of the August 18 primary.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtFL-23 Democratic Primary Winner
FL-23 Democratic Primary Winner
$20,872 KL.
$20,872 KL.
Aug 18, 2026
Jared Moskowitz
36%
Oliver Adams Larkin
35%
$20,872 KL.
$20,872 KL.
Aug 18, 2026
Jared Moskowitz
$9,647 KL.
36%
Oliver Adams Larkin
$11,224 KL.
35%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus in the FL-23 Democratic primary reflects a tight contest between incumbent Jared Moskowitz at 36% and challenger Oliver Larkin at 35.5%, driven by an ideological divide appealing to the district's diverse Broward and Palm Beach County voters. Moskowitz holds an edge from incumbency, strong Q1 fundraising, and establishment support amid AIPAC backing and his moderate "Ron DeSantis Democrat" profile, but Larkin's progressive surge—fueled by recent Democratic Socialists of America, Progressive Change Campaign Committee, and Progressive Democrats of America endorsements, plus a May 7 American Prospect profile highlighting criticisms of Moskowitz's pro-Israel stance, stock trading, and lack of town halls—has narrowed the gap since a March poll showing Moskowitz at 45% to Larkin's 11%. Separation could emerge from Q2 fundraising disclosures, major endorsements, debates, or new polls ahead of the August 18 primary.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Thị trường mở: Dec 19, 2025, 2:12 PM ET
Khối lượng
$20,872Ngày kết thúc
Aug 18, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 19, 2025, 2:12 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus in the FL-23 Democratic primary reflects a tight contest between incumbent Jared Moskowitz at 36% and challenger Oliver Larkin at 35.5%, driven by an ideological divide appealing to the district's diverse Broward and Palm Beach County voters. Moskowitz holds an edge from incumbency, strong Q1 fundraising, and establishment support amid AIPAC backing and his moderate "Ron DeSantis Democrat" profile, but Larkin's progressive surge—fueled by recent Democratic Socialists of America, Progressive Change Campaign Committee, and Progressive Democrats of America endorsements, plus a May 7 American Prospect profile highlighting criticisms of Moskowitz's pro-Israel stance, stock trading, and lack of town halls—has narrowed the gap since a March poll showing Moskowitz at 45% to Larkin's 11%. Separation could emerge from Q2 fundraising disclosures, major endorsements, debates, or new polls ahead of the August 18 primary.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Khối lượng
$20,872Ngày kết thúc
Aug 18, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 19, 2025, 2:12 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus in the FL-23 Democratic primary reflects a tight contest between incumbent Jared Moskowitz at 36% and challenger Oliver Larkin at 35.5%, driven by an ideological divide appealing to the district's diverse Broward and Palm Beach County voters. Moskowitz holds an edge from incumbency, strong Q1 fundraising, and establishment support amid AIPAC backing and his moderate "Ron DeSantis Democrat" profile, but Larkin's progressive surge—fueled by recent Democratic Socialists of America, Progressive Change Campaign Committee, and Progressive Democrats of America endorsements, plus a May 7 American Prospect profile highlighting criticisms of Moskowitz's pro-Israel stance, stock trading, and lack of town halls—has narrowed the gap since a March poll showing Moskowitz at 45% to Larkin's 11%. Separation could emerge from Q2 fundraising disclosures, major endorsements, debates, or new polls ahead of the August 18 primary.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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