Trader consensus in Florida's 19th Congressional District Republican primary favors Catalina Lauf at 41% implied probability, driven by her national conservative profile from prior Trump administration service and endorsements including Rep. Anna Paulina Luna, positioning her ahead in the crowded field despite trailing in cash-on-hand. Local broadcaster Jim Schwartzel holds second at 20% with superior fundraising, boasting $1.47 million cash on hand from Q1 FEC reports released in April, bolstering his viability in the safe Republican district vacated by Byron Donalds' gubernatorial bid. Former Rep. Madison Cawthorn garners 11% on MAGA recognition and a February dropout's endorsement, while self-funded Jim Oberweis sits at 12% amid nearly $3 million cash; no public polls exist, leaving odds shaped by early money and alliances ahead of the August 18 primary.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtFL-19 Republican Primary Winner
FL-19 Republican Primary Winner
Catalina Lauf 41%
Jim Schwartzel 19.8%
Jim Oberweis 11.6%
Madison Cawthorn 10.9%
$22,773 KL.
$22,773 KL.
Catalina Lauf
41%
Jim Schwartzel
20%
Jim Oberweis
12%
Madison Cawthorn
11%
Spencer Roach
8%
Bob Rommel
3%
Catalina Lauf 41%
Jim Schwartzel 19.8%
Jim Oberweis 11.6%
Madison Cawthorn 10.9%
$22,773 KL.
$22,773 KL.
Catalina Lauf
41%
Jim Schwartzel
20%
Jim Oberweis
12%
Madison Cawthorn
11%
Spencer Roach
8%
Bob Rommel
3%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Thị trường mở: Nov 25, 2025, 6:46 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus in Florida's 19th Congressional District Republican primary favors Catalina Lauf at 41% implied probability, driven by her national conservative profile from prior Trump administration service and endorsements including Rep. Anna Paulina Luna, positioning her ahead in the crowded field despite trailing in cash-on-hand. Local broadcaster Jim Schwartzel holds second at 20% with superior fundraising, boasting $1.47 million cash on hand from Q1 FEC reports released in April, bolstering his viability in the safe Republican district vacated by Byron Donalds' gubernatorial bid. Former Rep. Madison Cawthorn garners 11% on MAGA recognition and a February dropout's endorsement, while self-funded Jim Oberweis sits at 12% amid nearly $3 million cash; no public polls exist, leaving odds shaped by early money and alliances ahead of the August 18 primary.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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