Current ensemble forecasts from centers including ECMWF and KNMI show a probable daily maximum of 25–27 °C in Amsterdam on July 10 amid building high pressure and light southerly flow that favors modest warming above seasonal norms of 21–22 °C. Trader-implied odds cluster tightly around these outcomes because short-range models diverge mainly on afternoon cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and the precise strength of the urban heat-island effect, with limited precipitation expected to suppress extremes. Updated model runs and KNMI guidance issued in the next 24–48 hours will refine the exact peak and shift probabilities accordingly before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Amsterdam on July 10?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on July 10?
27°C 42%
26°C 29%
28°C 19.4%
25°C 11.7%
MỚI
$31,196 KL.
MỚI
$31,196 KL.
Jul 10, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
12%
26°C
29%
27°C
42%
28°C
19%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 42%
26°C 29%
28°C 19.4%
25°C 11.7%
MỚI
$31,196 KL.
MỚI
$31,196 KL.
Jul 10, 2026
22°C or below
$635 KL.
<1%
23°C
$1,325 KL.
<1%
24°C
$4,391 KL.
1%
25°C
$2,596 KL.
12%
26°C
$4,397 KL.
29%
27°C
$9,290 KL.
42%
28°C
$3,586 KL.
19%
29°C
$1,663 KL.
1%
30°C
$1,562 KL.
1%
31°C
$712 KL.
<1%
32°C or higher
$1,039 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from centers including ECMWF and KNMI show a probable daily maximum of 25–27 °C in Amsterdam on July 10 amid building high pressure and light southerly flow that favors modest warming above seasonal norms of 21–22 °C. Trader-implied odds cluster tightly around these outcomes because short-range models diverge mainly on afternoon cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and the precise strength of the urban heat-island effect, with limited precipitation expected to suppress extremes. Updated model runs and KNMI guidance issued in the next 24–48 hours will refine the exact peak and shift probabilities accordingly before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jul 8, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Khối lượng
$31,196Ngày kết thúc
Jul 10, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 8, 2026, 1:03 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from centers including ECMWF and KNMI show a probable daily maximum of 25–27 °C in Amsterdam on July 10 amid building high pressure and light southerly flow that favors modest warming above seasonal norms of 21–22 °C. Trader-implied odds cluster tightly around these outcomes because short-range models diverge mainly on afternoon cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and the precise strength of the urban heat-island effect, with limited precipitation expected to suppress extremes. Updated model runs and KNMI guidance issued in the next 24–48 hours will refine the exact peak and shift probabilities accordingly before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$31,196Ngày kết thúc
Jul 10, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 8, 2026, 1:03 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts from centers including ECMWF and KNMI show a probable daily maximum of 25–27 °C in Amsterdam on July 10 amid building high pressure and light southerly flow that favors modest warming above seasonal norms of 21–22 °C. Trader-implied odds cluster tightly around these outcomes because short-range models diverge mainly on afternoon cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and the precise strength of the urban heat-island effect, with limited precipitation expected to suppress extremes. Updated model runs and KNMI guidance issued in the next 24–48 hours will refine the exact peak and shift probabilities accordingly before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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