Current forecast models from sources like ECMWF and GFS ensembles position 30–31°C as the most probable daily maximum for Ankara on July 16, aligning with market-implied odds of 42% and 32%. Mid-July climatology on the Anatolian plateau features strong solar insolation and typical highs near 30–32°C, though light northeasterly flows or variable cloud cover can suppress peaks by 1–2°C. Recent short-range guidance shows stable high-pressure dominance with minimal precipitation risk, keeping temperatures in the narrow 29–31°C band observed in prior July days. Ensemble spread remains modest this close to the date, with any late adjustments to wind or moisture likely to shift probabilities within the leading outcomes rather than toward extremes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Ankara on July 16?
Highest temperature in Ankara on July 16?
30°C 50%
29°C 28%
31°C 10%
28°C 3.5%
MỚI
MỚI
Jul 16, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
4%
29°C
28%
30°C
50%
31°C
10%
32°C
2%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
30°C 50%
29°C 28%
31°C 10%
28°C 3.5%
MỚI
MỚI
Jul 16, 2026
26°C or below
$86 KL.
<1%
27°C
$377 KL.
2%
28°C
$312 KL.
4%
29°C
$153 KL.
28%
30°C
$634 KL.
50%
31°C
$846 KL.
10%
32°C
$947 KL.
2%
33°C
$517 KL.
1%
34°C
$116 KL.
<1%
35°C
$159 KL.
<1%
36°C or higher
$431 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources like ECMWF and GFS ensembles position 30–31°C as the most probable daily maximum for Ankara on July 16, aligning with market-implied odds of 42% and 32%. Mid-July climatology on the Anatolian plateau features strong solar insolation and typical highs near 30–32°C, though light northeasterly flows or variable cloud cover can suppress peaks by 1–2°C. Recent short-range guidance shows stable high-pressure dominance with minimal precipitation risk, keeping temperatures in the narrow 29–31°C band observed in prior July days. Ensemble spread remains modest this close to the date, with any late adjustments to wind or moisture likely to shift probabilities within the leading outcomes rather than toward extremes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jul 14, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Khối lượng
$4,578Ngày kết thúc
Jul 16, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 14, 2026, 12:02 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources like ECMWF and GFS ensembles position 30–31°C as the most probable daily maximum for Ankara on July 16, aligning with market-implied odds of 42% and 32%. Mid-July climatology on the Anatolian plateau features strong solar insolation and typical highs near 30–32°C, though light northeasterly flows or variable cloud cover can suppress peaks by 1–2°C. Recent short-range guidance shows stable high-pressure dominance with minimal precipitation risk, keeping temperatures in the narrow 29–31°C band observed in prior July days. Ensemble spread remains modest this close to the date, with any late adjustments to wind or moisture likely to shift probabilities within the leading outcomes rather than toward extremes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$4,578Ngày kết thúc
Jul 16, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 14, 2026, 12:02 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from sources like ECMWF and GFS ensembles position 30–31°C as the most probable daily maximum for Ankara on July 16, aligning with market-implied odds of 42% and 32%. Mid-July climatology on the Anatolian plateau features strong solar insolation and typical highs near 30–32°C, though light northeasterly flows or variable cloud cover can suppress peaks by 1–2°C. Recent short-range guidance shows stable high-pressure dominance with minimal precipitation risk, keeping temperatures in the narrow 29–31°C band observed in prior July days. Ensemble spread remains modest this close to the date, with any late adjustments to wind or moisture likely to shift probabilities within the leading outcomes rather than toward extremes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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