Recent northerly winds and building high pressure are driving expectations for a modest cooldown in Ankara on September 7, with official forecasts pointing to a daily maximum near 27–28 °C after warmer conditions the prior weekend. Model consensus from sources like the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international guidance shows light northeast breezes limiting daytime heating, clear skies, and dew points in the low teens Celsius that favor efficient radiational cooling overnight but cap afternoon peaks. Traders appear to weigh slight downward revisions in some ensembles against historical September averages near 27 °C, resulting in tight implied probabilities between 25 °C and 26 °C. Updated model runs and morning observations on September 6 will clarify any last adjustments ahead of the official daily high measurement.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Ankara on September 7?
26°C 47%
25°C 40%
27°C 10%
24°C 5%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
5%
25°C
40%
26°C
47%
27°C
10%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
<1%
26°C 47%
25°C 40%
27°C 10%
24°C 5%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
5%
25°C
40%
26°C
47%
27°C
10%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 5, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent northerly winds and building high pressure are driving expectations for a modest cooldown in Ankara on September 7, with official forecasts pointing to a daily maximum near 27–28 °C after warmer conditions the prior weekend. Model consensus from sources like the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international guidance shows light northeast breezes limiting daytime heating, clear skies, and dew points in the low teens Celsius that favor efficient radiational cooling overnight but cap afternoon peaks. Traders appear to weigh slight downward revisions in some ensembles against historical September averages near 27 °C, resulting in tight implied probabilities between 25 °C and 26 °C. Updated model runs and morning observations on September 6 will clarify any last adjustments ahead of the official daily high measurement.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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