Recent National Weather Service and model consensus points to a minimum temperature in the mid-70s for Austin on September 7, driven by southerly flow, mostly clear skies, and limited radiational cooling after daytime highs near 98°F. Persistent warm advection from the Gulf and elevated dew points suppress overnight drops below historical September averages around 70°F. Trader clustering around 72–77°F reflects tight forecast spreads across GFS and local guidance, with 1–3°F uncertainty tied to minor variations in cloud cover or wind. Updated NWS briefings and next model cycles will refine exact thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Austin on September 7?
86°F or higher 69%
74-75°F 50%
70-71°F 49%
72-73°F 49%
67°F or below
31%
68-69°F
20%
70-71°F
49%
72-73°F
49%
74-75°F
50%
76-77°F
49%
78-79°F
49%
80-81°F
49%
82-83°F
49%
84-85°F
1%
86°F or higher
69%
86°F or higher 69%
74-75°F 50%
70-71°F 49%
72-73°F 49%
67°F or below
31%
68-69°F
20%
70-71°F
49%
72-73°F
49%
74-75°F
50%
76-77°F
49%
78-79°F
49%
80-81°F
49%
82-83°F
49%
84-85°F
1%
86°F or higher
69%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 5, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model consensus points to a minimum temperature in the mid-70s for Austin on September 7, driven by southerly flow, mostly clear skies, and limited radiational cooling after daytime highs near 98°F. Persistent warm advection from the Gulf and elevated dew points suppress overnight drops below historical September averages around 70°F. Trader clustering around 72–77°F reflects tight forecast spreads across GFS and local guidance, with 1–3°F uncertainty tied to minor variations in cloud cover or wind. Updated NWS briefings and next model cycles will refine exact thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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