Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs indicate a Saturday overnight low in the mid-70s for Austin, driven by persistent southerly flow, high dew points near 73°F, and variable cloud cover from scattered showers that limit radiational cooling. Historical September averages near 71°F underscore the current warmth, yet forecast spreads of several degrees arise from uncertainties in thunderstorm timing and boundary-layer mixing. Traders appear to price in tail risks of either enhanced cooling under clearer skies or retained heat from humid, overcast conditions, producing the tight contest between sub-68°F and 86°F-plus outcomes ahead of updated model cycles and the NWS 7 p.m. forecast refresh.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Austin on September 5?
Lowest temperature in Austin on September 5?
67°F or below 95%
86°F or higher 95%
68-69°F 49%
70-71°F 49%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 5, 2026
67°F or below
95%
68-69°F
49%
70-71°F
49%
72-73°F
30%
74-75°F
34%
76-77°F
26%
78-79°F
49%
80-81°F
49%
82-83°F
49%
84-85°F
49%
86°F or higher
95%
67°F or below 95%
86°F or higher 95%
68-69°F 49%
70-71°F 49%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 5, 2026
67°F or below
$0 KL.
95%
68-69°F
$0 KL.
49%
70-71°F
$0 KL.
49%
72-73°F
$0 KL.
30%
74-75°F
$0 KL.
34%
76-77°F
$0 KL.
26%
78-79°F
$0 KL.
49%
80-81°F
$0 KL.
49%
82-83°F
$0 KL.
49%
84-85°F
$0 KL.
49%
86°F or higher
$0 KL.
95%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs indicate a Saturday overnight low in the mid-70s for Austin, driven by persistent southerly flow, high dew points near 73°F, and variable cloud cover from scattered showers that limit radiational cooling. Historical September averages near 71°F underscore the current warmth, yet forecast spreads of several degrees arise from uncertainties in thunderstorm timing and boundary-layer mixing. Traders appear to price in tail risks of either enhanced cooling under clearer skies or retained heat from humid, overcast conditions, producing the tight contest between sub-68°F and 86°F-plus outcomes ahead of updated model cycles and the NWS 7 p.m. forecast refresh.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 3, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Khối lượng
$0Ngày kết thúc
Sep 5, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 3, 2026, 3:29 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs indicate a Saturday overnight low in the mid-70s for Austin, driven by persistent southerly flow, high dew points near 73°F, and variable cloud cover from scattered showers that limit radiational cooling. Historical September averages near 71°F underscore the current warmth, yet forecast spreads of several degrees arise from uncertainties in thunderstorm timing and boundary-layer mixing. Traders appear to price in tail risks of either enhanced cooling under clearer skies or retained heat from humid, overcast conditions, producing the tight contest between sub-68°F and 86°F-plus outcomes ahead of updated model cycles and the NWS 7 p.m. forecast refresh.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$0Ngày kết thúc
Sep 5, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 3, 2026, 3:29 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs indicate a Saturday overnight low in the mid-70s for Austin, driven by persistent southerly flow, high dew points near 73°F, and variable cloud cover from scattered showers that limit radiational cooling. Historical September averages near 71°F underscore the current warmth, yet forecast spreads of several degrees arise from uncertainties in thunderstorm timing and boundary-layer mixing. Traders appear to price in tail risks of either enhanced cooling under clearer skies or retained heat from humid, overcast conditions, producing the tight contest between sub-68°F and 86°F-plus outcomes ahead of updated model cycles and the NWS 7 p.m. forecast refresh.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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