Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs indicate a warm, stable airmass over Denver for September 5, supporting overnight lows in the mid-to-upper 60s under partly cloudy skies and light winds that limit radiative cooling. This consensus drives the near-even split between the 57°F-or-below and 76°F-or-higher outcomes, as traders weigh potential model shifts from stronger southerly flow or increased cloud cover that could suppress minimum temperatures versus clearer conditions allowing modest cooling toward seasonal norms near 54°F. Key resolution hinges on final 48-hour forecast updates from NOAA, where dew-point trends and boundary-layer mixing will differentiate the clustered mid-range probabilities.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Denver on September 5?
57°F or below 95%
76°F or higher 93%
58-59°F 49%
66-67°F 49%
57°F or below
95%
58-59°F
49%
60-61°F
26%
62-63°F
31%
64-65°F
30%
66-67°F
49%
68-69°F
49%
70-71°F
49%
72-73°F
49%
74-75°F
49%
76°F or higher
93%
57°F or below 95%
76°F or higher 93%
58-59°F 49%
66-67°F 49%
57°F or below
95%
58-59°F
49%
60-61°F
26%
62-63°F
31%
64-65°F
30%
66-67°F
49%
68-69°F
49%
70-71°F
49%
72-73°F
49%
74-75°F
49%
76°F or higher
93%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 3, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkfNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkfNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs indicate a warm, stable airmass over Denver for September 5, supporting overnight lows in the mid-to-upper 60s under partly cloudy skies and light winds that limit radiative cooling. This consensus drives the near-even split between the 57°F-or-below and 76°F-or-higher outcomes, as traders weigh potential model shifts from stronger southerly flow or increased cloud cover that could suppress minimum temperatures versus clearer conditions allowing modest cooling toward seasonal norms near 54°F. Key resolution hinges on final 48-hour forecast updates from NOAA, where dew-point trends and boundary-layer mixing will differentiate the clustered mid-range probabilities.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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