Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for Houston on September 5 point to a daytime high in the low to mid-90s amid partly to mostly sunny skies with a 40-60% chance of afternoon showers or thunderstorms. This positions the market's clustered probabilities around 84-93°F as reflecting uncertainty in exact peak timing, convective development, and any resulting cloud cover or outflow that could suppress or elevate the maximum. Early September climatology shows an average high near 91°F, while persistent southerly flow and high humidity support heat indices above 100°F even if the dry-bulb reading stays moderate. Updated model runs and NWS briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine the range before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Houston on September 5?
90-91°F 40%
88-89°F 37%
92-93°F 23%
86-87°F 20%
81°F or below
1%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
15%
86-87°F
20%
88-89°F
19%
90-91°F
40%
92-93°F
23%
94-95°F
7%
96-97°F
7%
98-99°F
7%
100°F or higher
7%
90-91°F 40%
88-89°F 37%
92-93°F 23%
86-87°F 20%
81°F or below
1%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
15%
86-87°F
20%
88-89°F
19%
90-91°F
40%
92-93°F
23%
94-95°F
7%
96-97°F
7%
98-99°F
7%
100°F or higher
7%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 3, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for Houston on September 5 point to a daytime high in the low to mid-90s amid partly to mostly sunny skies with a 40-60% chance of afternoon showers or thunderstorms. This positions the market's clustered probabilities around 84-93°F as reflecting uncertainty in exact peak timing, convective development, and any resulting cloud cover or outflow that could suppress or elevate the maximum. Early September climatology shows an average high near 91°F, while persistent southerly flow and high humidity support heat indices above 100°F even if the dry-bulb reading stays moderate. Updated model runs and NWS briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine the range before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp