Recent ensemble forecasts for Busan indicate a daily maximum near 30°C on September 3, driven by residual warm, humid air masses from late summer before stronger northeasterly flow and seasonal cooling take hold. Model consensus from sources like the Korea Meteorological Administration and global guidance shows highs clustered between 27–30°C, with patchy rain or increased cloud cover potentially capping peaks and introducing slight downward bias. Historical climatology places early-September averages around 27–28°C, positioning current conditions near or slightly above baseline. Market-implied odds reflect this narrow range, with 30°C and 31°C leading due to uncertainty in exact timing of any frontal passage or convective activity that could alter the observed high by 1–2°C. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Busan on September 3?
Highest temperature in Busan on September 3?
30°C 40%
31°C 29%
29°C 19%
32°C 6%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 3, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
4%
29°C
19%
30°C
40%
31°C
29%
32°C
6%
33°C
2%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 40%
31°C 29%
29°C 19%
32°C 6%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 3, 2026
25°C or below
$128 KL.
<1%
26°C
$315 KL.
<1%
27°C
$254 KL.
2%
28°C
$58 KL.
4%
29°C
$373 KL.
19%
30°C
$280 KL.
40%
31°C
$501 KL.
29%
32°C
$121 KL.
6%
33°C
$69 KL.
2%
34°C
$32 KL.
<1%
35°C or higher
$170 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts for Busan indicate a daily maximum near 30°C on September 3, driven by residual warm, humid air masses from late summer before stronger northeasterly flow and seasonal cooling take hold. Model consensus from sources like the Korea Meteorological Administration and global guidance shows highs clustered between 27–30°C, with patchy rain or increased cloud cover potentially capping peaks and introducing slight downward bias. Historical climatology places early-September averages around 27–28°C, positioning current conditions near or slightly above baseline. Market-implied odds reflect this narrow range, with 30°C and 31°C leading due to uncertainty in exact timing of any frontal passage or convective activity that could alter the observed high by 1–2°C. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 1, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Khối lượng
$2,302Ngày kết thúc
Sep 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 1, 2026, 12:58 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts for Busan indicate a daily maximum near 30°C on September 3, driven by residual warm, humid air masses from late summer before stronger northeasterly flow and seasonal cooling take hold. Model consensus from sources like the Korea Meteorological Administration and global guidance shows highs clustered between 27–30°C, with patchy rain or increased cloud cover potentially capping peaks and introducing slight downward bias. Historical climatology places early-September averages around 27–28°C, positioning current conditions near or slightly above baseline. Market-implied odds reflect this narrow range, with 30°C and 31°C leading due to uncertainty in exact timing of any frontal passage or convective activity that could alter the observed high by 1–2°C. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$2,302Ngày kết thúc
Sep 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 1, 2026, 12:58 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts for Busan indicate a daily maximum near 30°C on September 3, driven by residual warm, humid air masses from late summer before stronger northeasterly flow and seasonal cooling take hold. Model consensus from sources like the Korea Meteorological Administration and global guidance shows highs clustered between 27–30°C, with patchy rain or increased cloud cover potentially capping peaks and introducing slight downward bias. Historical climatology places early-September averages around 27–28°C, positioning current conditions near or slightly above baseline. Market-implied odds reflect this narrow range, with 30°C and 31°C leading due to uncertainty in exact timing of any frontal passage or convective activity that could alter the observed high by 1–2°C. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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