Latest National Weather Service forecasts for Austin on August 3 point to sunny, hot conditions with a daytime high near 100–101°F, establishing the primary driver behind the 43.5% market-implied odds for that range. Persistent high pressure and a regional heat dome support minimal cloud cover or precipitation, aligning with typical early-August climatology where daily maxima average near 98°F but frequently reach the low 100s. Recent model consensus from NWS and local offices shows little disagreement on steering patterns or moisture return, keeping probabilities concentrated in the 98–103°F band while capping upside risk above 104°F at under 12% combined. Updated short-range guidance expected overnight could refine these values ahead of the observation period.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Austin on August 3?
Highest temperature in Austin on August 3?
100-101°F 42%
98-99°F 25%
102-103°F 22%
104-105°F 8%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 3, 2026
91°F or below
<1%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
1%
96-97°F
5%
98-99°F
25%
100-101°F
42%
102-103°F
22%
104-105°F
8%
106-107°F
3%
108-109°F
1%
110°F or higher
1%
100-101°F 42%
98-99°F 25%
102-103°F 22%
104-105°F 8%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 3, 2026
91°F or below
$161 KL.
<1%
92-93°F
$40 KL.
1%
94-95°F
$83 KL.
1%
96-97°F
$157 KL.
5%
98-99°F
$371 KL.
25%
100-101°F
$436 KL.
42%
102-103°F
$133 KL.
22%
104-105°F
$94 KL.
8%
106-107°F
$79 KL.
3%
108-109°F
$106 KL.
1%
110°F or higher
$406 KL.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service forecasts for Austin on August 3 point to sunny, hot conditions with a daytime high near 100–101°F, establishing the primary driver behind the 43.5% market-implied odds for that range. Persistent high pressure and a regional heat dome support minimal cloud cover or precipitation, aligning with typical early-August climatology where daily maxima average near 98°F but frequently reach the low 100s. Recent model consensus from NWS and local offices shows little disagreement on steering patterns or moisture return, keeping probabilities concentrated in the 98–103°F band while capping upside risk above 104°F at under 12% combined. Updated short-range guidance expected overnight could refine these values ahead of the observation period.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 1, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
Khối lượng
$2,066Ngày kết thúc
Aug 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 1, 2026, 9:04 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service forecasts for Austin on August 3 point to sunny, hot conditions with a daytime high near 100–101°F, establishing the primary driver behind the 43.5% market-implied odds for that range. Persistent high pressure and a regional heat dome support minimal cloud cover or precipitation, aligning with typical early-August climatology where daily maxima average near 98°F but frequently reach the low 100s. Recent model consensus from NWS and local offices shows little disagreement on steering patterns or moisture return, keeping probabilities concentrated in the 98–103°F band while capping upside risk above 104°F at under 12% combined. Updated short-range guidance expected overnight could refine these values ahead of the observation period.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$2,066Ngày kết thúc
Aug 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 1, 2026, 9:04 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service forecasts for Austin on August 3 point to sunny, hot conditions with a daytime high near 100–101°F, establishing the primary driver behind the 43.5% market-implied odds for that range. Persistent high pressure and a regional heat dome support minimal cloud cover or precipitation, aligning with typical early-August climatology where daily maxima average near 98°F but frequently reach the low 100s. Recent model consensus from NWS and local offices shows little disagreement on steering patterns or moisture return, keeping probabilities concentrated in the 98–103°F band while capping upside risk above 104°F at under 12% combined. Updated short-range guidance expected overnight could refine these values ahead of the observation period.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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