A building Western high-pressure ridge combined with record-warm near-shore Pacific waters is elevating early-August temperatures along the Southern California coast, though persistent marine influence and possible patchy fog or low clouds limit peak readings at official stations such as Los Angeles International Airport. National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models currently indicate afternoon highs in the upper 70s to low 80s on August 3, with light onshore flow and moderate humidity preventing stronger inland-style heating. Trader consensus clustering on the 76–79 °F bins reflects both historical climatology (early-August normals near 76 °F) and the narrow uncertainty band around whether the marine layer erodes enough for an 80 °F reading. New model runs and the evening marine-layer forecast issued August 2 will provide the final inputs before observations close the market.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Los Angeles on August 3?
78-79°F 41%
76-77°F 35%
80-81°F 14%
74-75°F 8%
71°F or below
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
8%
76-77°F
35%
78-79°F
41%
80-81°F
14%
82-83°F
3%
84-85°F
2%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
1%
90°F or higher
1%
78-79°F 41%
76-77°F 35%
80-81°F 14%
74-75°F 8%
71°F or below
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
8%
76-77°F
35%
78-79°F
41%
80-81°F
14%
82-83°F
3%
84-85°F
2%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
1%
90°F or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 1, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...A building Western high-pressure ridge combined with record-warm near-shore Pacific waters is elevating early-August temperatures along the Southern California coast, though persistent marine influence and possible patchy fog or low clouds limit peak readings at official stations such as Los Angeles International Airport. National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models currently indicate afternoon highs in the upper 70s to low 80s on August 3, with light onshore flow and moderate humidity preventing stronger inland-style heating. Trader consensus clustering on the 76–79 °F bins reflects both historical climatology (early-August normals near 76 °F) and the narrow uncertainty band around whether the marine layer erodes enough for an 80 °F reading. New model runs and the evening marine-layer forecast issued August 2 will provide the final inputs before observations close the market.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật


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