Trader sentiment for Beijing's July 17 maximum temperature centers on 33–35°C outcomes, reflecting ensemble forecast consensus from China Meteorological Administration models amid typical mid-July conditions. Regional southerly flow and urban heat island effects support highs near or above the 31–32°C seasonal average, while variable cloud cover and possible scattered showers introduce uncertainty that keeps probabilities tightly bunched. Recent yellow high-temperature warnings and observed 34°C readings underscore the potential for brief intensification if clear skies persist. Updated numerical weather prediction runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine these ranges, as small shifts in timing or moisture advection can alter peak values by 1–2°C.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Beijing on July 17?
34°C 31%
35°C 29.0%
33°C 23%
32°C 21%
29°C or below
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
10%
32°C
21%
33°C
23%
34°C
31%
35°C
26%
36°C
11%
37°C
9%
38°C
1%
39°C or higher
1%
34°C 31%
35°C 29.0%
33°C 23%
32°C 21%
29°C or below
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
10%
32°C
21%
33°C
23%
34°C
31%
35°C
26%
36°C
11%
37°C
9%
38°C
1%
39°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jul 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for Beijing's July 17 maximum temperature centers on 33–35°C outcomes, reflecting ensemble forecast consensus from China Meteorological Administration models amid typical mid-July conditions. Regional southerly flow and urban heat island effects support highs near or above the 31–32°C seasonal average, while variable cloud cover and possible scattered showers introduce uncertainty that keeps probabilities tightly bunched. Recent yellow high-temperature warnings and observed 34°C readings underscore the potential for brief intensification if clear skies persist. Updated numerical weather prediction runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine these ranges, as small shifts in timing or moisture advection can alter peak values by 1–2°C.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật



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