Trader consensus around 18–19°C for Cape Town’s June 27 maximum reflects short-range forecast model spread typical of Southern Hemisphere winter conditions. The Benguela Current keeps baseline coastal temperatures mild, while passing Atlantic cold fronts and variable southeasterly or northwesterly winds can shift daily maxima by 2–3°C within 48 hours. Current ensemble guidance shows limited divergence in 850 hPa temperatures and boundary-layer moisture, producing tightly clustered probabilities from 17–20°C. Measurement at the official Cape Town International Airport station further narrows outcomes, as local topography around Table Mountain can create microclimatic differences not fully resolved until the final model runs. No major synoptic feature has yet locked in a clearer signal ahead of the weekend.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Cape Town on June 27?
18°C 38%
17°C 28%
16°C 23.5%
19°C 10%
$23,728 KL.
$23,728 KL.
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
2%
16°C
24%
17°C
28%
18°C
38%
19°C
10%
20°C
5%
21°C
1%
22°C or higher
1%
18°C 38%
17°C 28%
16°C 23.5%
19°C 10%
$23,728 KL.
$23,728 KL.
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
2%
16°C
24%
17°C
28%
18°C
38%
19°C
10%
20°C
5%
21°C
1%
22°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jun 25, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus around 18–19°C for Cape Town’s June 27 maximum reflects short-range forecast model spread typical of Southern Hemisphere winter conditions. The Benguela Current keeps baseline coastal temperatures mild, while passing Atlantic cold fronts and variable southeasterly or northwesterly winds can shift daily maxima by 2–3°C within 48 hours. Current ensemble guidance shows limited divergence in 850 hPa temperatures and boundary-layer moisture, producing tightly clustered probabilities from 17–20°C. Measurement at the official Cape Town International Airport station further narrows outcomes, as local topography around Table Mountain can create microclimatic differences not fully resolved until the final model runs. No major synoptic feature has yet locked in a clearer signal ahead of the weekend.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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